Nantes - Brest: our prediction
19/04/2026•17:15
Nantes
1:1
(1:0)
Finished
Brest
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nantes vs Brest Preview — Ligue 1
Nantes hosts Brest in a Ligue 1 match. Nantes is a slight favorite with the bookmakers (odds 2.35) despite very disappointing recent form (1 win in the last 10 matches). Brest, in better form (4 wins in 10), performs well as an underdog. Recent statistics suggest a tight match with potentially few goals.
Our Nantes vs Brest predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Nantes had under 2.5 goals in 6 cases (60%), and Brest in 7 cases (70%). Both teams have recurring offensive difficulties (Nantes: 1 win/10, Brest: 4 wins/10 but often tight games). Brest's defense is solid (4 clean sheets/10). The 'Both Teams to Score' statistics are low (Nantes 40%, Brest 30%). A tactical and low-scoring match is likely.
1.67
Confidence
High
Nantes scores under 1.5 goals
Nantes' attack is very weak: only 2 matches out of 10 where they scored more than 1.5 goals (20%). They have not scored more than 1.5 goals in any of their last 3 home matches as favorites. Against a Brest defense that has kept 4 clean sheets in 10, it is very likely that Nantes scores at most one goal. This bet is consistent with the 'Under 2.5' and 'Draw' scenarios.
1.25
Confidence
High
Draw
Nantes is in very poor form (7 defeats/10) but plays at home. Brest is more performant but away. The draw statistics are 20% for each team over the last 10 matches. The contradictory dynamic (poor home form vs. good away form but not overwhelming) and the likelihood of a tight match with few goals (see bet 1) favor a draw scenario. The odds (3.25) offer good value.
3.2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Nantes vs Brest
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nantes vs Brest Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 2 7 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 14% | 43% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 30% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthis Abline | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Eric Ebimbe |
| Ignatius Ganago | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Romain Del Castillo |
| Dehmaine Tabibou | 13% (1/8) | 22% (2/9) | Ludovic Ajorque |
| Remy Cabella | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Lucas Tousart |
| Mostafa Mohamed | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Brendan Chardonnet |
13% (1/8) | Daouda Guindo | ||
11% (1/9) | Remy Lascary |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ignatius Ganago | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Eric Ebimbe |
| Matthis Abline | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Romain Del Castillo |
| Mostafa Mohamed | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Ludovic Ajorque |
| Dehmaine Tabibou | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Remy Lascary |
| Remy Cabella | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lucas Tousart |
⚽1 | Brendan Chardonnet | ||
⚽1 | Daouda Guindo |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 50% | 30% |
3.5 | 40% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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