Pau - SC Bastia: our prediction
06/03/2026•20:00
Pau
2:2
(2:1)
Finished
SC Bastia
-
1
-
X
-
2
Pau vs SC Bastia Preview — Ligue 2
Pau hosts SC Bastia in Ligue 2. Pau is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.05) despite recent inconsistent form (3 wins in 10 matches). Bastia, struggling away from home (1 win in 10), shows solid defense but a low-scoring attack. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with few goals.
Our Pau vs SC Bastia predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics are very clear: in the last 10 matches, Pau had 8 matches with over 2.5 goals, but SC Bastia shows a very strong opposite indicator: 0 matches with over 2.5 goals and 10/10 matches with under 2.5 goals. Bastia's defense is extremely disciplined (6 clean sheets in 10 matches). Bastia's attack is weak (only 1 'Both Teams Score' in 10 matches). The defensive dynamic of the away team should limit the total number of goals.
1.67
Confidence
High
SC Bastia scores under 1.5 goals
The indicator is unequivocal: in the last 10 matches, SC Bastia has scored under 1.5 goals in 9 encounters (90% success rate). Their attack is unproductive: only 4 matches with at least 1 goal (indicator 'parou05') and only one match with more than 1 goal. Facing a Pau defense that is not impregnable but plays at home as the favorite, it is very likely that Bastia will struggle to score more than one goal.
1.2
Confidence
Very high
Draw
Pau, although favorite, has inconsistent form (3W, 2D, 5L in 10 matches) and has won only one of its last 5 matches as favorite. SC Bastia, on the other hand, draws in 40% of its recent matches (4/10). Bastia's solid defense (few goals conceded) and the limited attack from both sides (Pau: 6/10 BTS, Bastia: 1/10 BTS) could lead to a stalemate. The odds reflect this possibility (3.20 for draw).
3.2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Pau vs SC Bastia
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Pau vs SC Bastia Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 3 4 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite | 20% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 80% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 10% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyliane Dong | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Joachim Eickmayer |
| Omar Sissoko | 25% (1/4) | 20% (2/10) | Felix Tomi |
| Antonin Bobichon | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Alexandre Zaouai |
| Tom Pouilly | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Ruben Beliandjou |
| Julien Anziani | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Juan Guevara |
| Giovani Versini | 14% (1/7) | 14% (1/7) | Christophe Vincent |
| Rayan Touzghar | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyliane Dong | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Joachim Eickmayer |
| Julien Anziani | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Felix Tomi |
| Tom Pouilly | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Alexandre Zaouai |
| Omar Sissoko | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Juan Guevara |
| Antonin Bobichon | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ruben Beliandjou |
| Giovani Versini | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Christophe Vincent |
| Rayan Touzghar | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 60% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 50% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Pau
5-3-2CoachThierry Debes
Starting XI
Substitutes
SC Bastia
5-4-1CoachReginald Ray
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Troyes | 56%(20/36) |
| 2 |  | Saint-Etienne | 50%(18/36) |
| 3 |  | Red Star | 44%(16/36) |
| 4 |  | Le Mans | 44%(16/36) |
| 5 |  | Rodez | 42%(15/36) |
| 6 |  | Annecy FC | 42%(15/36) |
| 7 |  | Montpellier | 39%(14/36) |
| 8 |  | Reims | 39%(14/36) |
| 9 | | Pau | 33%(12/36) |
| 10 |  | Dunkerque | 31%(11/36) |
| 11 |  | Guingamp | 28%(10/36) |
| 12 |  | Boulogne | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 |  | Nancy | 25%(9/36) |
| 14 |  | Clermont Foot | 25%(9/36) |
| 15 |  | Grenoble | 22%(8/36) |
| 16 |  | Amiens | 17%(6/36) |
| 17 |  | Laval | 17%(6/36) |
| 18 | | SC Bastia | 14%(5/36) |
| 19 |  | AC Ajaccio | 0%(0/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Ligue 2
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Ligue 2. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Ligue 2 est l'une des compétitions majeures de France. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Ligue 2, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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