Rugby

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SPG HOGO Wels - Sturm Graz II: our prediction

08/05/2026•18:00

SPG HOGO Wels

2:0

(2:0)

Finished

Sturm Graz II

SPG HOGO Wels vs Sturm Graz II Preview — 2. Liga

SPG HOGO Wels hosts Sturm Graz II in a 2. Liga match. Wels is the favorite with odds of 2.45 compared to 2.52 for Sturm Graz II. Wels has shown mixed recent form with a 50% win rate in their last 10 games, while Sturm Graz II has poor form with only a 30% win rate. Both teams tend to score, especially Wels (70% of matches). Sturm Graz II struggles away from home.

Our SPG HOGO Wels vs Sturm Graz II predictions

SPG HOGO Wels to win

SPG HOGO Wels plays at home and is the favorite according to the odds. Their win rate of 50% in the last 10 matches is higher than Sturm Graz II's (30%). Furthermore, Sturm Graz II has a very poor away record, with only 1 win in their last 10 away games. Wels also has a good 'nepredpasfav' indicator (did not lose as a favorite) over 5 matches, which reinforces confidence.

1.98

Confidence

High (65%)

Both teams to score

Both teams have shown a strong tendency to concede goals. SPG HOGO Wels has kept a clean sheet only once in their last 10 matches ('cleansheetno' indicator at 90%). Sturm Graz II also has a 'cleansheetno' rate of 80%. Furthermore, the 'bts' indicator for Wels is 70%, which is very high. Combined with the defensive weakness on both sides, this bet is very solid.

1.57

Confidence

High (65%)

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Although both teams have porous defenses, their 'over25' statistics are mixed. Wels has a 50% rate for this market, while Sturm Graz II is at 30%. However, the combination of defensive weakness and Wels' tendency to score (70% 'bts') suggests there will likely be at least 3 goals. A 2-2 draw is a plausible scenario, but confidence remains moderate due to Sturm Graz II's inconsistency.

1.67

Confidence

Medium (50%)

Market signals on SPG HOGO Wels vs Sturm Graz II

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

SPG HOGO Wels vs Sturm Graz II Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	SPG HOGO Wels	Sturm Graz II
Win	5 2 3	3 1 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	60%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	33%
Win by being a favorite	40%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	75%	17%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	17%
Win by being an outsider	50%	17%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	40% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	50%
2nd half	50%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Albin Gashi	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Jonas Peinhart
Sebastian Malinowski	30% (3/10)	14% (1/7)	Gabriel Haider
Manuel Thurnwald	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Bastian Maierhofer
Marek Svec	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Senad Mustafic
Pascal Muller	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Dennis Jastrzembski
Nicolas Keckeisen	11% (1/9)
Paul Gobara	13% (1/8)
Michael Brugger	10% (1/10)
Luca Tischler	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Albin Gashi	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Jonas Peinhart
Sebastian Malinowski	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Gabriel Haider
Marek Svec	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Senad Mustafic
Manuel Thurnwald	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Dennis Jastrzembski
Pascal Muller	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Bastian Maierhofer
Michael Brugger	⚽1
Luca Tischler	⚽1
Paul Gobara	⚽1
Nicolas Keckeisen	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	60%	70%
Over corners 9.5	40%	50%
Over corners 10.5	30%	50%
Over corners 11.5	10%	40%
Over corners 12.5	0%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	70%
Over corners 3.5	50%	70%
Over corners 4.5	40%	50%
Over corners 5.5	20%	20%
Over corners 6.5	10%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	90%
1.5	70%	70%
2.5	40%	50%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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