SPG HOGO Wels - Sturm Graz II: our prediction
08/05/2026•18:00
SPG HOGO Wels
2:0
(2:0)
Finished
Sturm Graz II
-
1
-
X
-
2
SPG HOGO Wels vs Sturm Graz II Preview — 2. Liga
SPG HOGO Wels hosts Sturm Graz II in a 2. Liga match. Wels is the favorite with odds of 2.45 compared to 2.52 for Sturm Graz II. Wels has shown mixed recent form with a 50% win rate in their last 10 games, while Sturm Graz II has poor form with only a 30% win rate. Both teams tend to score, especially Wels (70% of matches). Sturm Graz II struggles away from home.
Our SPG HOGO Wels vs Sturm Graz II predictions
SPG HOGO Wels to win
SPG HOGO Wels plays at home and is the favorite according to the odds. Their win rate of 50% in the last 10 matches is higher than Sturm Graz II's (30%). Furthermore, Sturm Graz II has a very poor away record, with only 1 win in their last 10 away games. Wels also has a good 'nepredpasfav' indicator (did not lose as a favorite) over 5 matches, which reinforces confidence.
1.98
Confidence
High (65%)
Both teams to score
Both teams have shown a strong tendency to concede goals. SPG HOGO Wels has kept a clean sheet only once in their last 10 matches ('cleansheetno' indicator at 90%). Sturm Graz II also has a 'cleansheetno' rate of 80%. Furthermore, the 'bts' indicator for Wels is 70%, which is very high. Combined with the defensive weakness on both sides, this bet is very solid.
1.57
Confidence
High (65%)
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Although both teams have porous defenses, their 'over25' statistics are mixed. Wels has a 50% rate for this market, while Sturm Graz II is at 30%. However, the combination of defensive weakness and Wels' tendency to score (70% 'bts') suggests there will likely be at least 3 goals. A 2-2 draw is a plausible scenario, but confidence remains moderate due to Sturm Graz II's inconsistency.
1.67
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Market signals on SPG HOGO Wels vs Sturm Graz II
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
SPG HOGO Wels vs Sturm Graz II Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 75% | 17% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 17% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 17% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 40% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Albin Gashi | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Jonas Peinhart |
| Sebastian Malinowski | 30% (3/10) | 14% (1/7) | Gabriel Haider |
| Manuel Thurnwald | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Bastian Maierhofer |
| Marek Svec | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Senad Mustafic |
| Pascal Muller | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Dennis Jastrzembski |
| Nicolas Keckeisen | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Paul Gobara | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Michael Brugger | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Luca Tischler | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Albin Gashi | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jonas Peinhart |
| Sebastian Malinowski | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Gabriel Haider |
| Marek Svec | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Senad Mustafic |
| Manuel Thurnwald | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Dennis Jastrzembski |
| Pascal Muller | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Bastian Maierhofer |
| Michael Brugger | ⚽1 | ||
| Luca Tischler | ⚽1 | ||
| Paul Gobara | ⚽1 | ||
| Nicolas Keckeisen | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 40% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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