Mallorca - Real Madrid: our prediction
04/04/2026•16:15
Mallorca
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Real Madrid
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mallorca vs Real Madrid Preview — LaLiga
Real Madrid, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Mallorca away. In their last 10 matches, Real has won 8 times and suffered only 2 defeats, while Mallorca has won 3 times and lost 6. Recent statistics show a strong goal trend for both teams.
Our Mallorca vs Real Madrid predictions
Real Madrid Win
Real Madrid is clearly favored with odds of 1.55. In the last 10 matches, they have won 8 times (80%) and lost only 2. Mallorca, at home, has won only 3 of its last 10 matches (30%) and lost 6. The form and quality of the Real Madrid squad are clearly superior. No major absences reported in the available data.
1.53
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show a strong goal trend. For Mallorca, 8/10 matches had over 2.5 goals (80%). For Real Madrid, it is also 8/10 (80%). Mallorca kept a clean sheet in none of its last 10 matches, and Real Madrid only 2 times. Real's attack (Vinicius Jr, Valverde) and Mallorca's (Muriqi) can score.
1.54
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Mallorca scored in 9 matches and saw their opponent score in 10 matches (no clean sheet). Real Madrid scored in 10 matches and conceded in 8 matches. The probability that Mallorca scores at home is high (9/10), and Real Madrid scores almost systematically. However, Real kept 2 clean sheets, which slightly tempers confidence. The bet is supported by the attacking statistics of both teams.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mallorca vs Real Madrid
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mallorca vs Real Madrid Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 1 6 | 8 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 13% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 13% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 60% |
2nd half | 70% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Vedat Muriqi | 40% (4/10) | 44% (4/9) | Vinicius Junior |
| Pablo Torre | 20% (2/10) | 50% (4/8) | Kylian Mbappe |
| Jan Virgili | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Manu Morlanes | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Jude Bellingham |
| Samu | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Brahim Diaz |
| Omar Mascarell | 11% (1/9) | 20% (1/5) | Arda Guler |
14% (1/7) | Federico Valverde |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Vedat Muriqi | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Vinicius Junior |
| Samu | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Kylian Mbappe |
| Manu Morlanes | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jude Bellingham |
| Pablo Torre | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Jan Virgili | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Arda Guler |
| Omar Mascarell | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Federico Valverde |
⚽1 | Brahim Diaz |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 30% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 50% | 20% |
3.5 | 30% | 20% |
4.5 | 20% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Lineups
Mallorca
4-3-1-2CoachMartin Demichelis
Starting XI
Substitutes
Real Madrid
4-4-2CoachAlvaro Arbeloa
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Barcelona | 82%(31/38) |
| 2 | | Real Madrid | 71%(27/38) |
| 3 |  | Villarreal | 58%(22/38) |
| 4 |  | Atletico Madrid | 55%(21/38) |
| 5 |  | Real Betis | 39%(15/38) |
| 6 |  | Getafe | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Celta Vigo | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Valencia | 34%(13/38) |
| 9 |  | Athletic Bilbao | 34%(13/38) |
| 10 |  | Sevilla | 32%(12/38) |
| 11 |  | Espanyol | 32%(12/38) |
| 12 |  | Rayo Vallecano | 32%(12/38) |
| 13 |  | Deportivo Alaves | 29%(11/38) |
| 14 |  | Real Sociedad | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Levante | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Osasuna | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 | | Mallorca | 29%(11/38) |
| 18 |  | Elche | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Girona | 24%(9/38) |
| 20 |  | Real Oviedo | 16%(6/38) |
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