Rayo Vallecano vs Elche — Prediction
03/04/2026•21:00
Rayo Vallecano
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Elche
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Rayo Vallecano hosts Elche in a LaLiga match. Rayo is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.74. In their last 10 matches, Rayo has won 3 times, drawn 4 times, and lost 3 times (30% success rate). Elche, away from home, has won once in their last 10 away matches. The 'Both teams to score' statistic is very strong for Elche (9/10) and average for Rayo (6/10). The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet is weak for Rayo (4/10) but very strong for Elche (9/10).
Our predictions
Both teams to score
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows that Rayo Vallecano saw both teams score in 6 cases (60%). Elche presents an even stronger statistic with 9 matches out of 10 where both teams scored (90%). Rayo's defense kept a clean sheet only 2 times in 10, Elche's only 1 time. With attacks capable of scoring (Rayo: 8/10 matches with +0.5 goals; Elche: 9/10) and permeable defenses, the 'Both Teams to Score' scenario is very likely.
1.87
Confidence
High
2.5 (Fewer goals per match)
Although Elche has a strong tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals (9/10), Rayo Vallecano presents an opposite profile with 6 matches out of 10 under 2.5 goals (60%). As the home team and favorite, Rayo could control the pace of the match. Their recent home matches show a tendency for moderate scores. The combination of Rayo's potential control and Elche's possible offensive difficulties away from home (despite their overall statistic) suggests the match could stay under 3 goals.
1.78
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Rayo Vallecano has drawn in 4 of its last 10 matches (40%). Elche has drawn 2 times in its last 10 matches (20%), but only 1 time in its last 10 away matches. Rayo, although favorite, has won only 30% of its recent matches and has not been convincing as a favorite (only 2 wins in 5 matches where it was favorite). Elche, on the other hand, has lost 6 of its last 10 matches. A draw could result from Rayo's relative offensive inefficiency and Elche's ability to score (as shown by the BTS bet), resulting in a points share.
3.62
Confidence
Low
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 1 3 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 14% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 90% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge de Frutos | 30% (3/10) | 33% (3/9) | Andre Silva |
| Pathe Ciss | 22% (2/9) | 33% (2/6) | Rafa Mir |
| Alvaro Garcia | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Alvaro Rodriguez |
| Nobel Mendy | 11% (1/9) | 14% (1/7) | Adam Boayar |
| Isi Palazon | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Aleix Febas |
| Alexandre Zurawski | 11% (1/9) | 14% (1/7) | Tete Morente |
| Fran Perez | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | German Valera |
| Alfonso Espino | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Marc Aguado |
| Oscar Valentin | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge de Frutos | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Andre Silva |
| Alvaro Garcia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Alvaro Rodriguez |
| Alexandre Zurawski | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Rafa Mir |
| Pathe Ciss | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Adam Boayar |
| Isi Palazon | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | German Valera |
| Oscar Valentin | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tete Morente |
| Fran Perez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aleix Febas |
| Alfonso Espino | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Marc Aguado |
| Nobel Mendy | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 80% | 90% |
2.5 | 40% | 60% |
3.5 | 20% | 30% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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