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Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal: our prediction

12/04/2026•21:00

Athletic Bilbao

1:2

(0:2)

Finished

Villarreal

Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Preview — LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao hosts Villarreal in a LaLiga match. Bilbao is a slight favorite with the bookmakers at odds of 2.28, but their recent form is mixed (4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses in the last 10). Villarreal, more effective away, displays a more prolific attack. Statistics suggest an open match with goals from both sides.

Our Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal predictions

Both teams to score

In the last 10 matches, Villarreal has scored in 9 games (90%) and both teams have scored in 8 (80%). Bilbao has scored in all of its last 10 matches. Defenses are not solid: Bilbao has not kept a clean sheet in the last 10, Villarreal only once. With in-form attackers like Mikautadze (4 goals) and Guruzeta (2 goals), a goal exchange is likely.

1.7

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

Offensive statistics support this bet. Villarreal has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10), Bilbao in 50% (5/10). The average goals per match is high. Both teams have defensive difficulties but capable attacks. The historical trend of clashes and current form indicate a match with several chances.

1.87

Confidence

Medium

Villarreal to win

Villarreal has better recent form with 5 wins in the last 10 matches (compared to 4 for Bilbao) and is more effective away. Bilbao, although favored at home, has lost 50% of its recent matches. Villarreal's attack, with Mikautadze and Pepe, can exploit Bilbao's defensive weaknesses. The high odds reflect the risk but offer value.

3.08

Confidence

Low

Market signals on Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Athletic Bilbao	Villarreal
Win	4 1 5	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	57%	78%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	20%
Win by being a favorite	57%	56%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	100%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	80% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	50%
2nd half	70%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Gorka Guruzeta	30% (3/10)	50% (5/10)	Nicolas Pepe
Oihan Sancet	25% (2/8)	30% (3/10)	Georges Mikautadze
Daniel Vivian	11% (1/9)	30% (3/10)	Gerard Moreno
Robert Navarro	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Alberto Moleiro
Aitor Paredes	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Sergi Cardona
Nico Williams	17% (1/6)	11% (1/9)	Tajon Buchanan
Inaki Williams	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Alfon Gonzalez
		13% (1/8)	Ayoze Perez

Total goals per player

	1	2
Gorka Guruzeta	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Nicolas Pepe
Nico Williams	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Georges Mikautadze
Oihan Sancet	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Gerard Moreno
Daniel Vivian	⚽1	⚽1	Sergi Cardona
Inaki Williams	⚽1	⚽1	Alberto Moleiro
Aitor Paredes	⚽1	⚽1	Ayoze Perez
Robert Navarro	⚽1	⚽1	Alfon Gonzalez
		⚽1	Tajon Buchanan

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	80%
Over corners 7.5	50%	60%
Over corners 8.5	40%	50%
Over corners 9.5	30%	30%
Over corners 10.5	30%	20%
Over corners 11.5	10%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	60%
Over corners 3.5	70%	60%
Over corners 4.5	30%	20%
Over corners 5.5	30%	0%
Over corners 6.5	20%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	90%
1.5	80%	80%
2.5	40%	30%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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