Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal: our prediction
12/04/2026•21:00
Athletic Bilbao
1:2
(0:2)
Finished
Villarreal
-
1
-
X
-
2
Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Preview — LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao hosts Villarreal in a LaLiga match. Bilbao is a slight favorite with the bookmakers at odds of 2.28, but their recent form is mixed (4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses in the last 10). Villarreal, more effective away, displays a more prolific attack. Statistics suggest an open match with goals from both sides.
Our Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Villarreal has scored in 9 games (90%) and both teams have scored in 8 (80%). Bilbao has scored in all of its last 10 matches. Defenses are not solid: Bilbao has not kept a clean sheet in the last 10, Villarreal only once. With in-form attackers like Mikautadze (4 goals) and Guruzeta (2 goals), a goal exchange is likely.
1.7
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Offensive statistics support this bet. Villarreal has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10), Bilbao in 50% (5/10). The average goals per match is high. Both teams have defensive difficulties but capable attacks. The historical trend of clashes and current form indicate a match with several chances.
1.87
Confidence
Medium
Villarreal to win
Villarreal has better recent form with 5 wins in the last 10 matches (compared to 4 for Bilbao) and is more effective away. Bilbao, although favored at home, has lost 50% of its recent matches. Villarreal's attack, with Mikautadze and Pepe, can exploit Bilbao's defensive weaknesses. The high odds reflect the risk but offer value.
3.08
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 57% | 78% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 40% | 20% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 56% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 80% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 50% |
2nd half | 70% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gorka Guruzeta | 30% (3/10) | 50% (5/10) | Nicolas Pepe |
| Oihan Sancet | 25% (2/8) | 30% (3/10) | Georges Mikautadze |
| Daniel Vivian | 11% (1/9) | 30% (3/10) | Gerard Moreno |
| Robert Navarro | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Alberto Moleiro |
| Aitor Paredes | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Sergi Cardona |
| Nico Williams | 17% (1/6) | 11% (1/9) | Tajon Buchanan |
| Inaki Williams | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Alfon Gonzalez |
13% (1/8) | Ayoze Perez |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gorka Guruzeta | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Nicolas Pepe |
| Nico Williams | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Georges Mikautadze |
| Oihan Sancet | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Gerard Moreno |
| Daniel Vivian | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sergi Cardona |
| Inaki Williams | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alberto Moleiro |
| Aitor Paredes | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ayoze Perez |
| Robert Navarro | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alfon Gonzalez |
⚽1 | Tajon Buchanan |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 80% |
2.5 | 40% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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