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Real Sociedad - Valencia: our prediction

17/05/2026•19:00

Real Sociedad

3:4

(1:2)

Finished

Valencia

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Preview — LaLiga

Real Sociedad, the home favorite, faces Valencia in a LaLiga match. Statistics show a trend towards tight games, with a high number of draws for Real Sociedad (50%) and low offensive output for both teams. Valencia appears more solid defensively but struggles to score.

Our Real Sociedad vs Valencia predictions

Valencia - Under 1.5 goals

Valencia has scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches. Their attack is underperforming, with a very low average of goals scored. Combined with Real Sociedad's defense, which, although porous (9 out of 10 games without a clean sheet), should limit Valencia's chances, it is likely that Valencia will not score more than one goal.

1.45

Confidence

Medium (50%)

Under 2.5 goals

Statistics show a high probability of under 2.5 goals. Real Sociedad has seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 10 matches, and Valencia in 6. Furthermore, Real Sociedad has a low average of goals scored (about 1 goal per game) and Valencia as well. Both teams struggle to be prolific, suggesting a low-scoring match.

1.85

Confidence

Medium (50%)

Draw

Real Sociedad has drawn 5 of their last 10 matches (50%), while Valencia has only drawn one. However, Real Sociedad has only won 2 of their last 10 matches and Valencia 4. The trend towards tight games and Real Sociedad's difficulty in capitalizing on their favorite status (only 2 wins in 6 matches as favorite) make a draw very likely. Both teams have offensive difficulties, which could lead to a parity score.

3.25

Confidence

Medium (50%)

Market signals on Real Sociedad vs Valencia

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Real Sociedad	Valencia
Win	2 5 3	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	43%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	33%
Win by being a favorite	33%	29%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	100%
Win by being an outsider	0%	100%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	50% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	30%
2nd half	30%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	60% 40%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Orri Oskarsson	56% (5/9)	30% (3/10)	Guido Rodriguez
Mikel Oyarzabal	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Umar Sadiq
Aihen Munoz	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Largie Ramazani
Luka Sucic	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Javier Guerra
Jon Martin	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Hugo Duro
Brais Mendez	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Diego Lopez
Pablo Marin	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Luis Rioja
Ander Barrenetxea	13% (1/8)
Carlos Soler	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Orri Oskarsson	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Guido Rodriguez
Mikel Oyarzabal	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Javier Guerra
Luka Sucic	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Umar Sadiq
Jon Martin	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Largie Ramazani
Aihen Munoz	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Hugo Duro
Brais Mendez	⚽1	⚽1	Diego Lopez
Carlos Soler	⚽1	⚽1	Luis Rioja
Pablo Marin	⚽1
Ander Barrenetxea	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	70%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	70%	50%
Over corners 9.5	40%	50%
Over corners 10.5	30%	50%
Over corners 11.5	20%	30%
Over corners 12.5	20%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	90%
Over corners 3.5	70%	80%
Over corners 4.5	50%	60%
Over corners 5.5	40%	40%
Over corners 6.5	20%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	90%	40%
2.5	70%	10%
3.5	30%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	10%	0%

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