Real Sociedad - Valencia: our prediction
17/05/2026•19:00
Real Sociedad
3:4
(1:2)
Finished
Valencia
-
1
-
X
-
2
Real Sociedad vs Valencia Preview — LaLiga
Real Sociedad, the home favorite, faces Valencia in a LaLiga match. Statistics show a trend towards tight games, with a high number of draws for Real Sociedad (50%) and low offensive output for both teams. Valencia appears more solid defensively but struggles to score.
Our Real Sociedad vs Valencia predictions
Valencia - Under 1.5 goals
Valencia has scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches. Their attack is underperforming, with a very low average of goals scored. Combined with Real Sociedad's defense, which, although porous (9 out of 10 games without a clean sheet), should limit Valencia's chances, it is likely that Valencia will not score more than one goal.
1.45
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Under 2.5 goals
Statistics show a high probability of under 2.5 goals. Real Sociedad has seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 10 matches, and Valencia in 6. Furthermore, Real Sociedad has a low average of goals scored (about 1 goal per game) and Valencia as well. Both teams struggle to be prolific, suggesting a low-scoring match.
1.85
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Draw
Real Sociedad has drawn 5 of their last 10 matches (50%), while Valencia has only drawn one. However, Real Sociedad has only won 2 of their last 10 matches and Valencia 4. The trend towards tight games and Real Sociedad's difficulty in capitalizing on their favorite status (only 2 wins in 6 matches as favorite) make a draw very likely. Both teams have offensive difficulties, which could lead to a parity score.
3.25
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Market signals on Real Sociedad vs Valencia
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Real Sociedad vs Valencia Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 5 3 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 43% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 29% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Orri Oskarsson | 56% (5/9) | 30% (3/10) | Guido Rodriguez |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Umar Sadiq |
| Aihen Munoz | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Largie Ramazani |
| Luka Sucic | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Javier Guerra |
| Jon Martin | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Hugo Duro |
| Brais Mendez | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Diego Lopez |
| Pablo Marin | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Luis Rioja |
| Ander Barrenetxea | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Carlos Soler | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Orri Oskarsson | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Guido Rodriguez |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Javier Guerra |
| Luka Sucic | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Umar Sadiq |
| Jon Martin | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Largie Ramazani |
| Aihen Munoz | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Hugo Duro |
| Brais Mendez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Diego Lopez |
| Carlos Soler | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luis Rioja |
| Pablo Marin | ⚽1 | ||
| Ander Barrenetxea | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 90% | 40% |
2.5 | 70% | 10% |
3.5 | 30% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers