Cultural Leonesa vs Real Valladolid — Prediction
04/04/2026•18:30
Cultural Leonesa
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
Real Valladolid
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Cultural Leonesa hosts Real Valladolid in LaLiga 2. Valladolid is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.42, compared to 2.75 for Leonesa. In their last 10 matches, Valladolid has won 3 times, drawn 2, and lost 5 (30% success rate). Cultural Leonesa, as an outsider, has not won any of its last 8 matches in that role. The 'Both teams to score' bet has occurred 5 times out of 10 for Leonesa and 6 times out of 10 for Valladolid. 'Over 2.5 goals' has occurred 5 times out of 10 for Leonesa and 8 times out of 10 for Valladolid.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics from the last 10 matches are very favorable for a high-scoring game. Real Valladolid has seen the 'Over 2.5 goals' bet succeed in 80% of its matches (8/10). Cultural Leonesa has seen it succeed in 50% of its matches (5/10). Leonesa's defense is fragile (only 1 clean sheet in 10 matches) and Valladolid has in-form attackers (Latasa 3 goals, Canos 2 goals). The analysis of implied odds and Valladolid's offensive trend support this scenario.
2
Confidence
High
Real Valladolid scores over 0.5 goals
Real Valladolid has scored in 100% of its last 10 matches (10/10). The 'Over 0.5 goals (per team)' indicator has been validated 80% of the time for Valladolid (8/10). Facing a Cultural Leonesa defense that has kept a clean sheet only once in 10 matches, and with in-form attackers like Juanmi Latasa (3 goals) and Sergi Canos (2 goals), it is very likely that Valladolid will find the back of the net at least once.
1.29
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Cultural Leonesa has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Real Valladolid has scored in all of its last 10 matches (100%). However, Valladolid has also kept a clean sheet in 20% of its matches (2/10), and Leonesa only in 10% (1/10). The probability of both scoring is supported by Valladolid's consistent attack and Leonesa's offensive capability at home, despite unconvincing defenses on both sides.
1.78
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | 4 6 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 38% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 50% |
2nd half | 60% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Chacon | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Juanmi Latasa |
| Ivan Calero | 20% (2/10) | 25% (2/8) | Marcos de Sousa |
| Rafael Tresaco | 14% (1/7) | 20% (2/10) | Sergi Canos |
22% (2/9) | Peter Gonzalez | ||
10% (1/10) | Chuki | ||
11% (1/9) | Stanko Juric |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Chacon | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Juanmi Latasa |
| Ivan Calero | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Peter Gonzalez |
| Rafael Tresaco | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Marcos de Sousa |
⚽⚽2 | Chuki | ||
⚽⚽2 | Sergi Canos | ||
⚽1 | Stanko Juric |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 90% | 70% |
2.5 | 80% | 10% |
3.5 | 50% | 0% |
4.5 | 40% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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