Almeria vs Leganes — Prediction
05/04/2026•18:30
Almeria
2:1
(1:1)
Finished
Leganes
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Almeria hosts Leganes in LaLiga 2. The home team is favored by bookmakers with odds at 1.67. Over the last 10 matches, Almeria shows 7 wins and a solid attack, while Leganes, struggling away, has won only 2 of its last 10 matches. Recent statistics suggest a match with goals.
Our predictions
Almeria to Win
Almeria, at home, is clearly favored (odds 1.67). In the last 10 matches, they have won 7 times (70%) and lost only twice. Their attack is effective (scored in 10/10 last matches). Leganes, away, is struggling: only 2 wins in 10 matches (20%), and a defense that often concedes (clean sheet only 3 times in 10). Recent form and home advantage strongly favor Almeria.
1.66
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
Almeria's attack is very consistent: they have scored at least one goal in their last 10 matches (100%). Leganes has scored in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Almeria's defense is not watertight (clean sheet only once in 10), and Leganes' is even less so (3 clean sheets in 10). Historical statistics show this bet has occurred 7 times in 10 for Almeria and 6 times in 10 for Leganes. A scenario with goals from both sides is very likely.
1.74
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals
Almeria's matches are often high-scoring: the 'Over 2.5 Goals' bet has occurred in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%). For Leganes, this scenario is less frequent (4 times in 10, 40%). However, Almeria's strong attack at home, coupled with a Leganes defense that concedes (under 1.5 goals per team conceded in 8/10 matches, but against a weak attack), and the likelihood of both teams scoring, support the possibility of a match with 3 goals or more. Confidence is medium due to Leganes' weaker performance in this area.
1.76
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 1 2 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 88% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 60% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Arribas | 70% (7/10) | 33% (3/9) | Gonzalo Melero |
| Miguel de la Fuente | 30% (3/10) | 22% (2/9) | Seydouba Cisse |
| Alex Munoz | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Oscar Plano |
| Leo Baptistao | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Amadou Diawara |
| Nico Ribaudo | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Duk |
| Thalys | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Juan Cruz |
| Jon Morcillo | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Luis Asue |
| Adrian Embarba | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Dion Lopy | 14% (1/7) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Arribas | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Gonzalo Melero |
| Miguel de la Fuente | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Seydouba Cisse |
| Leo Baptistao | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Oscar Plano |
| Alex Munoz | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Luis Asue |
| Dion Lopy | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Duk |
| Adrian Embarba | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Amadou Diawara |
| Jon Morcillo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Juan Cruz |
| Thalys | ⚽1 | ||
| Nico Ribaudo | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 80% | 80% |
2.5 | 20% | 50% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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