Rugby

Tennis

Almeria - Malaga: our prediction

19/04/2026•21:00

Almeria

3:2

(0:0)

Finished

Malaga

Almeria vs Malaga Preview — LaLiga2

Almeria, the bookmakers' favorite, hosts Malaga in Liga 2. The home team shows solid form (6 wins in the last 10 matches) and a prolific attack, while Malaga, less effective away, has a relatively solid defense. Recent statistics suggest a match with goals.

Our Almeria vs Malaga predictions

Almeria to Win

Almeria is clearly favored (odds 1.85). In the last 10 matches, they have won 6 times (60%) and lost only 3. At home, their attack is effective (7 times +1.5 goals/team in 10). Malaga, away, has only 1 defeat in 10, but 4 draws and poor offensive performance away (5 times -1.5 goals/team). Form and home advantage favor Almeria.

1.78

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

Statistics support this scenario. For Almeria, 'Both Teams to Score' has occurred in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%). Their defense concedes regularly (only 1 clean sheet). Malaga has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches (90% over 0.5 goals/team) and has seen both teams score in 5 of their last 10 matches. With Almeria's prolific attack (10/10 over 1.5 goals/match) and Malaga's scoring ability, both nets should shake.

1.53

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

The 'over 2.5' indicator is positive 70% of the time for Almeria in their last 10 matches (7/10). Malaga has a rate of 50% (5/10). Almeria has never had less than 1.5 goals per match in this period (10/10 over 1.5). Combined with the likelihood of both teams scoring, a total of 3 goals or more is plausible. However, Malaga can be defensive away (5/10 under 2.5 goals/match), which slightly tempers confidence.

1.57

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Almeria vs Malaga

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Almeria vs Malaga Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Almeria	Malaga
Win	6 1 3	5 4 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	75%
Win by being a favorite	86%	57%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	33%
Win by being an outsider	0%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	50% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	50%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Adrian Embarba	40% (4/10)	40% (4/10)	Chupe
Sergio Arribas	30% (3/10)	33% (3/9)	Adrian Nino
Miguel de la Fuente	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Joaquin Munoz
Leo Baptistao	25% (2/8)	22% (2/9)	Diego Murillo
Jon Morcillo	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Francisco Montero
Nico Ribaudo	13% (1/8)	11% (1/9)	Aaron Ochoa
Alex Munoz	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Eneko Jauregi
		10% (1/10)	Darko Brasanac
		14% (1/7)	David Larrubia
		17% (1/6)	Haitam Abaida

Total goals per player

	1	2
Sergio Arribas	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Chupe
Adrian Embarba	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Adrian Nino
Miguel de la Fuente	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Joaquin Munoz
Leo Baptistao	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Diego Murillo
Alex Munoz	⚽1	⚽1	Francisco Montero
Jon Morcillo	⚽1	⚽1	Haitam Abaida
Nico Ribaudo	⚽1	⚽1	Aaron Ochoa
		⚽1	David Larrubia
		⚽1	Eneko Jauregi
		⚽1	Darko Brasanac

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	60%
Over corners 8.5	70%	50%
Over corners 9.5	60%	40%
Over corners 10.5	50%	30%
Over corners 11.5	40%	30%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	60%
Over corners 3.5	80%	60%
Over corners 4.5	70%	40%
Over corners 5.5	40%	20%
Over corners 6.5	10%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	80%
1.5	80%	70%
2.5	30%	50%
3.5	20%	20%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	10%

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