Almeria - Malaga: our prediction
19/04/2026•21:00
Almeria
3:2
(0:0)
Finished
Malaga
-
1
-
X
-
2
Almeria vs Malaga Preview — LaLiga2
Almeria, the bookmakers' favorite, hosts Malaga in Liga 2. The home team shows solid form (6 wins in the last 10 matches) and a prolific attack, while Malaga, less effective away, has a relatively solid defense. Recent statistics suggest a match with goals.
Our Almeria vs Malaga predictions
Almeria to Win
Almeria is clearly favored (odds 1.85). In the last 10 matches, they have won 6 times (60%) and lost only 3. At home, their attack is effective (7 times +1.5 goals/team in 10). Malaga, away, has only 1 defeat in 10, but 4 draws and poor offensive performance away (5 times -1.5 goals/team). Form and home advantage favor Almeria.
1.78
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
Statistics support this scenario. For Almeria, 'Both Teams to Score' has occurred in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%). Their defense concedes regularly (only 1 clean sheet). Malaga has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches (90% over 0.5 goals/team) and has seen both teams score in 5 of their last 10 matches. With Almeria's prolific attack (10/10 over 1.5 goals/match) and Malaga's scoring ability, both nets should shake.
1.53
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals
The 'over 2.5' indicator is positive 70% of the time for Almeria in their last 10 matches (7/10). Malaga has a rate of 50% (5/10). Almeria has never had less than 1.5 goals per match in this period (10/10 over 1.5). Combined with the likelihood of both teams scoring, a total of 3 goals or more is plausible. However, Malaga can be defensive away (5/10 under 2.5 goals/match), which slightly tempers confidence.
1.57
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Almeria vs Malaga
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Almeria vs Malaga Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 1 3 | 5 4 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite | 86% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Embarba | 40% (4/10) | 40% (4/10) | Chupe |
| Miguel de la Fuente | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Joaquin Munoz |
| Sergio Arribas | 30% (3/10) | 33% (3/9) | Adrian Nino |
| Leo Baptistao | 25% (2/8) | 22% (2/9) | Diego Murillo |
| Jon Morcillo | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Aaron Ochoa |
| Alex Munoz | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Eneko Jauregi |
| Nico Ribaudo | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Darko Brasanac |
14% (1/7) | David Larrubia | ||
17% (1/6) | Haitam Abaida | ||
10% (1/10) | Francisco Montero |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Arribas | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Chupe |
| Adrian Embarba | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Adrian Nino |
| Miguel de la Fuente | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Joaquin Munoz |
| Leo Baptistao | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Diego Murillo |
| Nico Ribaudo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Eneko Jauregi |
| Alex Munoz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Darko Brasanac |
| Jon Morcillo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Francisco Montero |
⚽1 | Haitam Abaida | ||
⚽1 | Aaron Ochoa | ||
⚽1 | David Larrubia |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 80% |
1.5 | 80% | 70% |
2.5 | 30% | 50% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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