Sporting Gijon - AD Ceuta FC: our prediction
03/05/2026•16:15
Sporting Gijon
1:2
(1:2)
Finished
AD Ceuta FC
-
1
-
X
-
2
Sporting Gijon vs AD Ceuta FC Preview — LaLiga2
Sporting Gijon, favorite with odds of 1.6, hosts AD Ceuta FC. Gijon has a 30% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Ceuta has won only 2. Both teams have defenses that often concede goals (70% 'clean sheet no' for both). Ceuta tends to score away from home.
Our Sporting Gijon vs AD Ceuta FC predictions
Sporting Gijon to Win
Sporting Gijon is the logical favorite with odds of 1.6. Despite their mixed recent form (30% wins), they are playing at home against a Ceuta side that has a poor away record (1 win in 10 matches as an outsider). Statistics show Gijon has a better win indicator when favored (50% in 4 matches). The difference in class and home advantage should prevail.
1.47
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
This bet is consistent with a Gijon win. Both teams have a high likelihood of conceding: Gijon kept a clean sheet only 3 times in 10 matches, and Ceuta also 3 times. Ceuta scored in 50% of their matches, and Gijon in 60%. The match promises to be open, with chances for both sides.
1.73
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals in the Match
This bet is compatible with the previous two. Statistics show a trend towards goals: 60% of Ceuta's matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Although Gijon is more reserved (40%), the matchup against a Ceuta defense that concedes goals (70% 'clean sheet no') and a Ceuta attack that scores away makes this scenario likely. The match should be lively.
1.63
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Sporting Gijon vs AD Ceuta FC
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Sporting Gijon vs AD Ceuta FC Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 17% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 13% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 13% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 60% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Dubasin | 33% (3/9) | 33% (3/9) | Marcos Fernandez |
| Juan Otero | 38% (3/8) | 25% (2/8) | Konrad de la Fuente |
| Gaspar Campos | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Aboubacar Bassinga |
| Lucas Perrin | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Alex Corredera | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Brian Olivan | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Amadou Coundoul | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Pablo Vazquez | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Cesar Gelabert Pina | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Otero | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Marcos Fernandez |
| Jonathan Dubasin | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Aboubacar Bassinga |
| Gaspar Campos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Konrad de la Fuente |
| Lucas Perrin | ⚽1 | ||
| Brian Olivan | ⚽1 | ||
| Cesar Gelabert Pina | ⚽1 | ||
| Amadou Coundoul | ⚽1 | ||
| Pablo Vazquez | ⚽1 | ||
| Alex Corredera | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 90% |
2.5 | 10% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1CoachBorja Jimenez
Starting XI
Substitutes
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3CoachJose Juan Romero
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Racing Santander | 60%(25/42) |
| 2 |  | Deportivo La Coruna | 52%(22/42) |
| 3 |  | Almeria | 52%(22/42) |
| 4 |  | Malaga | 50%(21/42) |
| 5 |  | Burgos CF | 48%(20/42) |
| 6 |  | Castellon | 48%(20/42) |
| 7 |  | Las Palmas | 48%(20/42) |
| 8 |  | Eibar | 45%(19/42) |
| 9 | | Sporting Gijon | 43%(18/42) |
| 10 |  | Cordoba | 40%(17/42) |
| 11 | | AD Ceuta FC | 40%(17/42) |
| 12 |  | Albacete | 38%(16/42) |
| 13 |  | FC Andorra | 38%(16/42) |
| 14 |  | Granada | 29%(12/42) |
| 15 |  | Real Valladolid | 29%(12/42) |
| 16 |  | Real Sociedad B | 29%(12/42) |
| 17 |  | Leganes | 26%(11/42) |
| 18 |  | Cadiz | 26%(11/42) |
| 19 |  | CD Mirandes | 24%(10/42) |
| 20 |  | Cultural Leonesa | 21%(9/42) |
| 21 |  | SD Huesca | 21%(9/42) |
| 22 |  | Real Zaragoza | 19%(8/42) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - LaLiga2
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Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
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