Sporting Gijon - Almeria: our prediction
24/05/2026•18:30
Sporting Gijon
3:1
(2:0)
Finished
Almeria
-
1
-
X
-
2
Sporting Gijon vs Almeria Preview — LaLiga2
Almeria, the favorite, travels to Sporting Gijon. Statistics show a clear superiority for Almeria, especially offensively, with 6 wins in 10 matches. Gijon is inconsistent and has defensive difficulties.
Our Sporting Gijon vs Almeria predictions
Over 2.5 goals
This bet is also consistent with the previous two. Almeria has seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%), and Gijon in 6 of their last 10 matches (60%). Combined with the high probability that both teams will score, the total goals should exceed 2.5. Almeria's offensive power and Gijon's defensive weaknesses (80% of their matches with over 2.5 goals conceded) support this scenario.
1.53
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both teams to score
This bet is consistent with an Almeria victory. Gijon has conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%), while Almeria has scored in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%). Furthermore, Gijon has scored in 6 of their last 10 matches (60%), and Almeria has conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%). Both teams therefore have a strong tendency to score and concede, making this bet very likely.
1.48
Confidence
High (65 %)
Almeria Victory
Almeria is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.7. In the last 10 matches, Almeria has won 6 (60% success rate) while Gijon has only won 3 (30%). Almeria is particularly effective when favored, with 6 wins in 7 matches (86% success rate). Gijon, on the other hand, has lost 6 of its last 10 matches. Almeria's form and offensive quality, led by players like Sergio Arribas (7 goals) and Adrian Embarba (5 goals), should make the difference.
2
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Sporting Gijon vs Almeria
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Sporting Gijon vs Almeria Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 1 6 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 86% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 17% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 80% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Otero | 50% (4/8) | 40% (4/10) | Adrian Embarba |
| Jonathan Dubasin | 33% (3/9) | 30% (3/10) | Miguel de la Fuente |
| Gaspar Campos | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Sergio Arribas |
| Pablo Vazquez | 10% (1/10) | 25% (2/8) | Leo Baptistao |
| Amadou Coundoul | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Nico Ribaudo |
| Lucas Perrin | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Jon Morcillo |
| Cesar Gelabert Pina | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Alex Munoz |
| Alex Corredera | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Otero | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Sergio Arribas |
| Jonathan Dubasin | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Adrian Embarba |
| Gaspar Campos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Miguel de la Fuente |
| Alex Corredera | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Leo Baptistao |
| Lucas Perrin | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alex Munoz |
| Cesar Gelabert Pina | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jon Morcillo |
| Amadou Coundoul | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nico Ribaudo |
| Pablo Vazquez | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 80% |
2.5 | 40% | 30% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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