Arouca - Benfica: our prediction
14/03/2026•21:30
Arouca
1:2
(1:0)
Finished
Benfica
-
1
-
X
-
2
Arouca vs Benfica Preview — Liga Portugal
Benfica, the heavy favorite (odds 1.25), faces Arouca away. Recent statistics show a clear superiority for Benfica (6 wins in 10 matches) against a struggling Arouca (4 wins in 10 matches). Both teams tend to play matches with over 2.5 goals (80% success rate each). No information on major absences was found.
Our Arouca vs Benfica predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics are very clear: in Arouca's last 10 matches, over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of cases (8/10). Benfica shows exactly the same ratio (8/10). The 'over25' indicator is therefore green for both teams. Arouca has a defense that regularly concedes (7 clean sheets failed out of 10), while Benfica has a performing attack (8/10 matches with at least 0.5 goals scored). The probability of a match with 3 or more goals is very high.
1.51
Confidence
Very high
Benfica to score over 1.5 goals
The 'parou15' indicator for Benfica shows that the team has scored over 1.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Facing an Arouca defense that has kept only 3 clean sheets in 10, and has conceded at least one goal in 7 of its last 10 matches, Benfica's attackers (Schjelderup 5 goals, Pavlidis 4 goals) have a high chance of shining. Benfica's technical and offensive superiority should translate into at least two goals.
1.35
Confidence
High
Benfica to Win
Benfica is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.25. In the last 10 matches, Benfica has won 6 times (60% success rate) against only 2 defeats. Arouca, at home, has won 4 of its last 10 matches but lost 5. Benfica's form and squad quality are clearly superior. The 'winfav' indicator shows that Benfica has won 5 out of 7 times when favored. No known major absences disrupt this dynamic.
1.29
Confidence
High
Market signals on Arouca vs Benfica
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Arouca vs Benfica Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 71% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 43% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 29% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 29% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 60% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Barbero | 33% (3/9) | 56% (5/9) | Richard Rios |
| Taichi Fukui | 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) | Andreas Schjelderup |
| Hyun-Ju Lee | 22% (2/9) | 40% (4/10) | Rafa Silva |
| Tiago Esgaio | 25% (2/8) | 20% (2/10) | Franjo Ivanovic |
| Alfonso Trezza | 13% (1/8) | 22% (2/9) | Leandro Barreiro |
| Jose Fontan | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Vangelis Pavlidis |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Gianluca Prestianni |
| Espen van Ee | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Alexander Bah |
| Bas Kuipers | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Miguel Puche | 20% (1/5) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Barbero | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Richard Rios |
| Taichi Fukui | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Rafa Silva |
| Tiago Esgaio | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Andreas Schjelderup |
| Hyun-Ju Lee | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Franjo Ivanovic |
| Alfonso Trezza | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Vangelis Pavlidis |
| Miguel Puche | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Leandro Barreiro |
| Espen van Ee | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alexander Bah |
| Bas Kuipers | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gianluca Prestianni |
| Pablo Gozalbez | ⚽1 | ||
| Jose Fontan | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 80% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 80% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 60% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 80% |
1.5 | 60% | 80% |
2.5 | 40% | 50% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 20% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Lineups
Arouca
4-2-3-1CoachVasco Seabra
Starting XI
Substitutes
Benfica
4-2-3-1CoachJoao Tralhao
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | FC Porto | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 |  | Sporting CP | 74%(25/34) |
| 3 | | Benfica | 68%(23/34) |
| 4 |  | Braga | 47%(16/34) |
| 5 |  | Famalicao | 44%(15/34) |
| 6 |  | Gil Vicente | 38%(13/34) |
| 7 |  | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 35%(12/34) |
| 8 |  | Moreirense | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 | | Arouca | 35%(12/34) |
| 10 |  | Alverca | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 |  | Estoril | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 |  | Santa Clara | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 |  | Nacional | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Rio Ave | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Casa Pia AC | 18%(6/34) |
| 16 |  | Estrela da Amadora | 18%(6/34) |
| 17 |  | Tondela | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | AVS Futebol SAD | 9%(3/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga Portugal
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga Portugal. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga Portugal est l'une des compétitions majeures de Portugal. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga Portugal, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
Betting actions
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