Benfica - Nacional: our prediction
12/04/2026•19:00
Benfica
2:0
(2:0)
Finished
Nacional
-
1
-
X
-
2
Benfica vs Nacional Preview — Liga Portugal
Benfica, clear favorite at home, faces Nacional, a struggling away team. Recent statistics show a clear superiority for Benfica (6 wins/10 last matches) against a struggling Nacional (6 defeats/10). The very low odds for Benfica (1.12) reflect this gap. The match should see Benfica dominate and score multiple goals.
Our Benfica vs Nacional predictions
Benfica to Win
Benfica is the heavy favorite (odds 1.12). In the last 10 matches, Benfica has won 6 times (60%) and lost only twice. At home, they are particularly strong. Nacional, on the other hand, has suffered 6 defeats in 10 matches (60%) and won only twice. Their away form is weak (0 wins in recent away matches according to the data). The technical superiority and context (home) strongly favor Benfica.
1.13
Confidence
Very high
Benfica to score over 1.5 goals
Benfica's attack is effective. In the last 10 matches, Benfica scored over 1.5 goals (i.e., at least 2 goals) in 70% of cases (7/10). At home, against a Nacional that conceded at least one goal in most of its matches and shows defensive weaknesses away, it is very likely that Benfica will find the net at least twice. The goal statistics per player also show several potential scorers (Schjelderup 3 goals, Pavlidis 2, R. Silva 2).
1.22
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Benfica's matches are often high-scoring. In the last 10 matches, the 'Over 2.5 goals' bet won in 80% of cases (8/10). Benfica scores regularly (at least one goal in 9/10 last matches) but also concedes (both teams scored in 70% of their matches). Facing a Nacional defense that conceded at least one goal in 70% of its recent matches, a scenario with over 2 goals is likely, driven by Benfica's attack.
1.36
Confidence
High
Market signals on Benfica vs Nacional
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Benfica vs Nacional Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 2 2 | 2 2 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 75% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 17% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 10% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Rios | 56% (5/9) | 44% (4/9) | Jesus Ramirez |
| Andreas Schjelderup | 40% (4/10) | 11% (1/9) | Paulinho Boia |
| Rafa Silva | 40% (4/10) | 20% (1/5) | Miguel Baeza |
| Franjo Ivanovic | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Filipe Soares |
| Leandro Barreiro | 22% (2/9) | ||
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 20% (2/10) | ||
| Gianluca Prestianni | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Alexander Bah | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Rios | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Jesus Ramirez |
| Rafa Silva | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽1 | Filipe Soares |
| Andreas Schjelderup | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽1 | Miguel Baeza |
| Franjo Ivanovic | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Paulinho Boia |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Leandro Barreiro | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Alexander Bah | ⚽1 | ||
| Gianluca Prestianni | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 100% |
2.5 | 50% | 70% |
3.5 | 10% | 30% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Benfica
4-2-3-1CoachJose Mourinho
Starting XI
Substitutes
Nacional
4-3-3CoachTiago Margarido
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | FC Porto | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 |  | Sporting CP | 74%(25/34) |
| 3 | | Benfica | 68%(23/34) |
| 4 |  | Braga | 47%(16/34) |
| 5 |  | Famalicao | 44%(15/34) |
| 6 |  | Gil Vicente | 38%(13/34) |
| 7 |  | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 35%(12/34) |
| 8 |  | Moreirense | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 |  | Arouca | 35%(12/34) |
| 10 |  | Alverca | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 |  | Estoril | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 |  | Santa Clara | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 | | Nacional | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Rio Ave | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Casa Pia AC | 18%(6/34) |
| 16 |  | Estrela da Amadora | 18%(6/34) |
| 17 |  | Tondela | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | AVS Futebol SAD | 9%(3/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga Portugal
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga Portugal. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga Portugal est l'une des compétitions majeures de Portugal. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga Portugal, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
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