Nacional - Estrela da Amadora: our prediction
04/04/2026•16:30
Nacional
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
Estrela da Amadora
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora Preview — Liga Portugal
Nacional faces Estrela da Amadora in Liga Portugal. Nacional, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.05), is in very poor form with only 1 win in their last 10 matches. Estrela da Amadora, away from home, is hardly better with 2 wins in 10. Both teams have leaky defenses and struggle to score regularly, suggesting a tight and low-scoring match.
Our Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows Nacional had under 2.5 goals in 5 out of 10 cases (50%) and Estrela da Amadora in 4 out of 10 (40%). Both teams have ineffective attacks (Nacional: 1 win/10, Estrela: 2/10) and defenses that often concede (Nacional: 2 clean sheets/10, Estrela: 3/10). The overall poor form and limited offensive statistics support a low-scoring scenario.
1.92
Confidence
High
Nacional scores under 0.5 goals
In its last 10 matches, Nacional failed to score (under 0.5 goals) in 5 cases (50%). Its attack is not prolific with only 8 goals scored in this period, distributed among 7 different players, indicating a lack of a reference striker. Facing an Estrela defense that kept 3 clean sheets in 10, and considering Nacional's overall poor form (1 win/10), the scenario of a home team offensive failure is plausible.
3.4
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Nacional drew 2 times in their last 10 matches (20%), Estrela da Amadora 3 times (30%). Neither team is in confident or dominant form. Nacional, although favored at home, has a very poor performance as a favorite (1 win/3 matches where they were favored). Estrela, for its part, does not often lose as a favorite (1 defeat/2 matches). The balance of power and low offensive efficiency on both sides make a draw a plausible scenario.
3.55
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 2 7 | 2 3 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 14% | 38% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 13% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 40% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 10% |
2nd half | 60% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Ramirez | 44% (4/9) | 30% (3/10) | Jovane Cabral |
| Paulinho Boia | 11% (1/9) | 22% (2/9) | Rodrigo Pinho |
| Miguel Baeza | 20% (1/5) | 20% (2/10) | Abraham Marcus |
| Filipe Soares | 13% (1/8) | 17% (1/6) | Stefan Lekovic |
10% (1/10) | Ianis Stoica | ||
10% (1/10) | Eddy Doue |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Ramirez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jovane Cabral |
| Filipe Soares | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Rodrigo Pinho |
| Miguel Baeza | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Stefan Lekovic |
| Paulinho Boia | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Abraham Marcus |
⚽1 | Eddy Doue | ||
⚽1 | Ianis Stoica |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 100% | 80% |
2.5 | 60% | 30% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Nacional
4-3-3CoachTiago Margarido
Starting XI
Substitutes
Estrela da Amadora
4-3-3CoachJoao Nuno
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | FC Porto | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 |  | Sporting CP | 74%(25/34) |
| 3 |  | Benfica | 68%(23/34) |
| 4 |  | Braga | 47%(16/34) |
| 5 |  | Famalicao | 44%(15/34) |
| 6 |  | Gil Vicente | 38%(13/34) |
| 7 |  | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 35%(12/34) |
| 8 |  | Moreirense | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 |  | Arouca | 35%(12/34) |
| 10 |  | Alverca | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 |  | Estoril | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 |  | Santa Clara | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 | | Nacional | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Rio Ave | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Casa Pia AC | 18%(6/34) |
| 16 |  | Estrela da Amadora | 18%(6/34) |
| 17 |  | Tondela | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | AVS Futebol SAD | 9%(3/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga Portugal
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga Portugal. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga Portugal est l'une des compétitions majeures de Portugal. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga Portugal, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
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