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Nacional - Vitoria de Guimaraes: our prediction

16/05/2026•19:00

Nacional

2:0

(0:0)

Finished

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Nacional vs Vitoria de Guimaraes Preview — Liga Portugal

Nacional, home favorites, face Vitoria de Guimaraes. Nacional have poor recent form (30% wins) and a weak attack. Vitoria struggle away from home (1 win in 10). Both teams find it hard to score, and matches often have under 2.5 goals.

Our Nacional vs Vitoria de Guimaraes predictions

Nacional - Under 1.5 goals

Nacional have scored under 1.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches. Their attack is weak, with only 2 goals in their last 5 home games. Against a Vitoria defense that doesn't concede many, Nacional should struggle to score more than one goal.

1.96

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Nacional to win

Nacional are home favorites with odds at 1.96. Vitoria de Guimaraes have a very poor away record (1 win in 10). Nacional, despite average overall form, should capitalize on home advantage and Vitoria's weakness on the road to secure a narrow victory.

2.05

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 goals

Nacional have seen under 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches. Vitoria de Guimaraes have seen under 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches. Both teams have unproductive attacks and solid defenses. The match promises to be tight and low-scoring.

1.84

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Nacional vs Vitoria de Guimaraes

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nacional vs Vitoria de Guimaraes Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Nacional	Vitoria de Guimaraes
Win	3 1 6	3 2 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	60%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	25%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	0%
Win by being a favorite	60%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	20%	25%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	25%
Win by being an outsider	0%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	40% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	30%
2nd half	30%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Jesus Ramirez	44% (4/9)	30% (3/10)	Gustavo Silva
Paulinho Boia	11% (1/9)	30% (3/10)	Samu
Miguel Baeza	20% (1/5)	10% (1/10)	Joao Mendes
Filipe Soares	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Oumar Camara
		10% (1/10)	Tony Strata
		11% (1/9)	Miguel Nogueira

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jesus Ramirez	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Gustavo Silva
Paulinho Boia	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Samu
Filipe Soares	⚽1	⚽1	Joao Mendes
Miguel Baeza	⚽1	⚽1	Miguel Nogueira
		⚽1	Tony Strata
		⚽1	Oumar Camara

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	80%
Over corners 7.5	100%	80%
Over corners 8.5	100%	60%
Over corners 9.5	80%	50%
Over corners 10.5	70%	40%
Over corners 11.5	50%	30%
Over corners 12.5	40%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	90%
Over corners 3.5	80%	50%
Over corners 4.5	70%	30%
Over corners 5.5	50%	30%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	90%	50%
2.5	50%	20%
3.5	30%	10%
4.5	20%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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