Nacional - Vitoria de Guimaraes: our prediction
16/05/2026•19:00
Nacional
2:0
(0:0)
Finished
Vitoria de Guimaraes
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nacional vs Vitoria de Guimaraes Preview — Liga Portugal
Nacional, home favorites, face Vitoria de Guimaraes. Nacional have poor recent form (30% wins) and a weak attack. Vitoria struggle away from home (1 win in 10). Both teams find it hard to score, and matches often have under 2.5 goals.
Our Nacional vs Vitoria de Guimaraes predictions
Nacional - Under 1.5 goals
Nacional have scored under 1.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches. Their attack is weak, with only 2 goals in their last 5 home games. Against a Vitoria defense that doesn't concede many, Nacional should struggle to score more than one goal.
1.96
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Nacional to win
Nacional are home favorites with odds at 1.96. Vitoria de Guimaraes have a very poor away record (1 win in 10). Nacional, despite average overall form, should capitalize on home advantage and Vitoria's weakness on the road to secure a narrow victory.
2.05
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 goals
Nacional have seen under 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches. Vitoria de Guimaraes have seen under 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches. Both teams have unproductive attacks and solid defenses. The match promises to be tight and low-scoring.
1.84
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Nacional vs Vitoria de Guimaraes
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nacional vs Vitoria de Guimaraes Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 1 6 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 25% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 20% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 40% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Ramirez | 44% (4/9) | 30% (3/10) | Gustavo Silva |
| Paulinho Boia | 11% (1/9) | 30% (3/10) | Samu |
| Miguel Baeza | 20% (1/5) | 10% (1/10) | Joao Mendes |
| Filipe Soares | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Oumar Camara |
10% (1/10) | Tony Strata | ||
11% (1/9) | Miguel Nogueira |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Ramirez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Gustavo Silva |
| Paulinho Boia | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Samu |
| Filipe Soares | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joao Mendes |
| Miguel Baeza | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Miguel Nogueira |
⚽1 | Tony Strata | ||
⚽1 | Oumar Camara |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 100% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 90% | 50% |
2.5 | 50% | 20% |
3.5 | 30% | 10% |
4.5 | 20% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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