Nacional - Alverca: our prediction
18/04/2026•16:30
Nacional
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Alverca
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nacional vs Alverca Preview — Liga Portugal
Nacional faces Alverca in Liga Portugal. Nacional, the bookmakers' favorite, shows mixed form with only 1 win in their last 10 matches, while Alverca demonstrates a better ability to score and avoid defeat. The match could be tight with few goals.
Our Nacional vs Alverca predictions
Under 2.5 goals
In the last 10 matches, Nacional has seen under 2.5 goals in 7 instances, and Alverca in 5 instances. Nacional's weak attack (only 4 matches with +0.5 goals scored/10) and Alverca's tendency to play tight matches (6 draws/10) strongly support this bet. Neither team has a prolific attack.
1.94
Confidence
High
Draw
Nacional has recorded 2 draws in their last 10 matches, while Alverca has recorded 6 out of 10. Nacional's poor offensive performance (1 win/10 matches) and Alverca's relative solidity away (0 defeats/10 matches as an outsider) suggest a balanced scenario. The odds reflect this uncertainty.
3.36
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Nacional vs Alverca
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nacional vs Alverca Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 2 7 | 2 6 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 14% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 90% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Ramirez | 44% (4/9) | 30% (3/10) | Lucas Figueiredo |
| Paulinho Boia | 11% (1/9) | 25% (2/8) | Marko Milovanovic |
| Miguel Baeza | 20% (1/5) | 20% (2/10) | Sandro Lima |
| Filipe Soares | 13% (1/8) | 22% (2/9) | Kaiky Naves |
11% (1/9) | Chiquinho | ||
10% (1/10) | Rhaldney Norberto |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Ramirez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Lucas Figueiredo |
| Filipe Soares | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Sandro Lima |
| Miguel Baeza | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Marko Milovanovic |
| Paulinho Boia | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Kaiky Naves |
⚽1 | Chiquinho | ||
⚽1 | Rhaldney Norberto |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 100% | 40% |
2.5 | 70% | 10% |
3.5 | 40% | 10% |
4.5 | 20% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Nacional
4-3-3CoachTiago Margarido
Starting XI
Substitutes
Alverca
3-4-3CoachCustodio
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | FC Porto | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 |  | Sporting CP | 74%(25/34) |
| 3 |  | Benfica | 68%(23/34) |
| 4 |  | Braga | 47%(16/34) |
| 5 |  | Famalicao | 44%(15/34) |
| 6 |  | Gil Vicente | 38%(13/34) |
| 7 |  | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 35%(12/34) |
| 8 |  | Moreirense | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 |  | Arouca | 35%(12/34) |
| 10 |  | Alverca | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 |  | Estoril | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 |  | Santa Clara | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 | | Nacional | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Rio Ave | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Casa Pia AC | 18%(6/34) |
| 16 |  | Estrela da Amadora | 18%(6/34) |
| 17 |  | Tondela | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | AVS Futebol SAD | 9%(3/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga Portugal
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga Portugal. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga Portugal est l'une des compétitions majeures de Portugal. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga Portugal, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
Betting actions
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