Rio Ave - Sporting CP: our prediction
11/05/2026•21:15
Rio Ave
1:4
(1:2)
Finished
Sporting CP
-
1
-
X
-
2
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Preview — Liga Portugal
Sporting CP, heavy favorite with odds of 1.22, travels to Rio Ave. Statistics show that Sporting CP has won 4 of its last 10 matches, with a tendency to score in the second half. Rio Ave, on the other hand, has a leaky defense (6 out of 10 matches without a clean sheet) and struggles to score (only 2 wins in 10 matches). Both teams score in 60% of Sporting CP's matches.
Our Rio Ave vs Sporting CP predictions
Under 3.5 Goals
This bet is very solid. Rio Ave has seen under 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, and Sporting CP in 6 of their last 10. Combined with Rio Ave's low offensive output (only 2 wins in 10 matches) and Sporting CP's tendency to manage their lead, this is the most likely scenario.
1.95
Confidence
Very high
Rio Ave scores under 1.5 goals
Rio Ave has a very weak attack. In their last 10 matches, they scored under 1.5 goals in 6 matches. Furthermore, they have only won 4 out of 10 matches, highlighting their offensive struggles. Against Sporting CP's solid defense (which conceded only one goal in 10 matches as a favorite with odds between 1.21 and 1.50), it is highly likely that Rio Ave will not score more than one goal.
1.22
Confidence
High
Sporting CP Victory
Sporting CP is the logical favorite with odds of 1.22. In their last 10 matches, they have won 4 times, including 4 times as favorites (out of 7 opportunities). Rio Ave has only won 4 of its last 10 matches and lost 3 times. Current form and class difference strongly favor Sporting CP.
1.18
Confidence
High
Market signals on Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 63% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 38% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 38% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 10% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Blesa | 50% (5/10) | 50% (5/10) | Luis Suarez |
| Jakub Brabec | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Daniel Braganca |
| Diogo Bezerra | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Trincao |
| Andreas-Richardos Ntoi | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Eduardo Quaresma |
| Ole Pohlmann | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Rafael Nel |
| Tamas Nikitscher | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Goncalo Inacio |
10% (1/10) | Geovany Quenda | ||
14% (1/7) | Morten Hjulmand | ||
10% (1/10) | Hidemasa Morita | ||
10% (1/10) | Maximiliano Araujo | ||
14% (1/7) | Luis Guilherme |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Blesa | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Luis Suarez |
| Andreas-Richardos Ntoi | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Daniel Braganca |
| Jakub Brabec | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rafael Nel |
| Ole Pohlmann | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Trincao |
| Tamas Nikitscher | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luis Guilherme |
| Diogo Bezerra | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Goncalo Inacio |
⚽1 | Morten Hjulmand | ||
⚽1 | Hidemasa Morita | ||
⚽1 | Maximiliano Araujo | ||
⚽1 | Geovany Quenda | ||
⚽1 | Eduardo Quaresma |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 70% |
2.5 | 70% | 20% |
3.5 | 40% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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