Santa Clara - Nacional: our prediction
11/05/2026•21:15
Santa Clara
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
Nacional
-
1
-
X
-
2
Santa Clara vs Nacional Preview — Liga Portugal
Santa Clara, favorite at home, faces Nacional. Santa Clara has 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 matches. Nacional has 3 wins and 7 losses in their last 10 matches, with a very poor away form (0 away wins). Both teams tend to score under 2.5 goals.
Our Santa Clara vs Nacional predictions
Under 1.5 Goals for Nacional
Nacional has a low offensive capacity, especially away. In 10 matches, Nacional has scored under 1.5 goals in 8 encounters. Santa Clara, at home, has a solid defense (4 clean sheets in 10). Combined with a Santa Clara win and total goals under 2.5, it is very likely that Nacional will not score or will score at most one goal.
3.4
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 Goals
Statistics show a clear trend towards low scores. Santa Clara has seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches. Nacional has seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. Combined with a likely Santa Clara win, a tight score like 1-0 is very plausible. This bet is consistent with a Santa Clara victory.
1.76
Confidence
High (65 %)
Santa Clara Victory
Santa Clara is the favorite (odds at 2.05) and plays at home. In the last 10 matches, Santa Clara has 4 wins, while Nacional has 6 losses. Nacional has not won any of its last 10 away matches. The 'Does not lose as favorite' indicator is green for Santa Clara (7/8), reinforcing confidence. Santa Clara's victory is the most likely bet.
2.3
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Santa Clara vs Nacional
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Santa Clara vs Nacional Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 30% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Silva | 30% (3/10) | 44% (4/9) | Jesus Ramirez |
| Elias Manoel | 29% (2/7) | 20% (1/5) | Miguel Baeza |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 25% (2/8) | 13% (1/8) | Filipe Soares |
| Vinicius | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Paulinho Boia |
| Klismahn | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Sidney Lima | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Silva | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Jesus Ramirez |
| Elias Manoel | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Filipe Soares |
| Goncalo Paciencia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Miguel Baeza |
| Vinicius | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Paulinho Boia |
| Klismahn | ⚽1 | ||
| Sidney Lima | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 90% | 90% |
2.5 | 40% | 60% |
3.5 | 20% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 20% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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