Arouca - Tondela: our prediction
16/05/2026•19:00
Arouca
3:1
(1:0)
Finished
Tondela
-
1
-
X
-
2
Arouca vs Tondela Preview — Liga Portugal
Arouca hosts Tondela in a Liga Portugal match. Tondela is the favorite with odds of 2.15. Arouca has shown poor recent form at home, with only 1 win in their last 10 matches. Statistics indicate a tendency for goals for Arouca, but Tondela seems more solid defensively.
Our Arouca vs Tondela predictions
Under 2.5 goals for Tondela
Tondela has scored under 2.5 goals in 100% of their last 10 matches. Their attack is not very prolific, and even against Arouca's weak defense, they are unlikely to exceed this threshold. This is a very reliable indicator.
1.15
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Arouca has seen over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches, while Tondela has seen this scenario in 7 of their last 10. Arouca's offensive trend at home and Tondela's ability to score support this bet.
1.25
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both teams score
Arouca has seen both teams score in 60% of their last matches, indicating a defensive weakness. Tondela has an attack capable of scoring, but their defense is also porous. The fact that Arouca failed to keep a clean sheet in 80% of their matches reinforces this option.
1.65
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Arouca vs Tondela
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Arouca vs Tondela Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 17% | 57% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 30% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 10% |
2nd half | 80% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Barbero | 33% (3/9) | 38% (3/8) | Rony Lopes |
| Hyun-Ju Lee | 22% (2/9) | 25% (1/4) | Cicero |
| Taichi Fukui | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Joe Hodge |
| Tiago Esgaio | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Makan Aiko |
| Jose Fontan | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Bebeto |
| Bas Kuipers | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Pablo Gozalbez | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Espen van Ee | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Alfonso Trezza | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Miguel Puche | 20% (1/5) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Barbero | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Rony Lopes |
| Taichi Fukui | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Cicero |
| Tiago Esgaio | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Bebeto |
| Hyun-Ju Lee | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Joe Hodge |
| Miguel Puche | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Makan Aiko |
| Espen van Ee | ⚽1 | ||
| Bas Kuipers | ⚽1 | ||
| Pablo Gozalbez | ⚽1 | ||
| Jose Fontan | ⚽1 | ||
| Alfonso Trezza | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 80% |
1.5 | 90% | 60% |
2.5 | 50% | 50% |
3.5 | 30% | 20% |
4.5 | 30% | 20% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers