Penafiel - Maritimo: our prediction
Match Preview
Penafiel hosts Maritimo in a Liga Portugal 2 match. Maritimo is in great form with 7 wins in their last 10 games, while Penafiel has only won 3 times. Maritimo is the favorite and looks well-placed to win.
Our predictions
Penafiel scores under 1.5 goals
Penafiel has scored under 1.5 goals in 50% of their matches. Against a Maritimo defense that has kept 4 clean sheets and is full of confidence, it is unlikely that Penafiel will score more than one goal. Furthermore, Penafiel has only scored 7 times in 10 matches (parou05), showing a lackluster attack.
1.3
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 3.5 goals in the match
Statistics show that Penafiel has seen under 3.5 goals in 70% of their matches, and Maritimo in 80%. Both teams tend to play low-scoring games. Additionally, Maritimo has a good defense (4 clean sheets) and Penafiel struggles to score (only 7 matches with over 0.5 goals per team). A match with under 3.5 goals is very likely.
1.23
Confidence
High (65 %)
Maritimo wins the match
Maritimo has won 7 of their last 10 matches, with a 70% success rate as a favorite. Penafiel, on the other hand, has only won 3 of their last 10 matches and has a weak defensive record (only 2 clean sheets). The odds (2.48 for Maritimo) confirm their favorite status. Performance analysis suggests a likely Maritimo victory.
3.8
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Penafiel vs Maritimo Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 7 1 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 56% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 22% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 22% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Reko | 38% (3/8) | 40% (4/10) | Adrian Butzke |
| Ze Leite | 25% (2/8) | 38% (3/8) | Simo Bouzaidi |
| Davo | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Carlos Daniel |
| Joseph Sery | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Francisco Gomes |
| Alvaro Santos | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Ibrahima |
| Jorge Mere | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Bruno Pereira | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Ibrahima Kebe | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Reko | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Adrian Butzke |
| Ze Leite | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Simo Bouzaidi |
| Davo | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Carlos Daniel |
| Joseph Sery | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Francisco Gomes |
| Bruno Pereira | âš½1 | âš½1 | Ibrahima |
| Alvaro Santos | âš½1 | ||
| Jorge Mere | âš½1 | ||
| Ibrahima Kebe | âš½1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 90% | 80% |
2.5 | 50% | 70% |
3.5 | 30% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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