Rugby

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Erzgebirge Aue - MSV Duisburg: our prediction

08/05/2026•19:00

Erzgebirge Aue

0:0

(0:0)

Finished

MSV Duisburg

Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg Preview — 3. Liga

3. Liga match between Erzgebirge Aue and MSV Duisburg. MSV Duisburg is the favorite with odds of 1.5 and has won 6 of their last 10 matches. Erzgebirge Aue is struggling at home with only 1 win in their last 10 home games.

Our Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg predictions

Both teams score

Both teams have scored in 90% of Erzgebirge Aue's matches and 70% of MSV Duisburg's. Statistics show a high probability that both teams will find the net.

1.55

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Erzgebirge Aue's matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases, and MSV Duisburg's in 70%. Combined with the high probability that both teams score, this bet is very consistent.

1.51

Confidence

High

MSV Duisburg win

MSV Duisburg is in great form with 60% wins in their last 10 matches, while Erzgebirge Aue has only won once at home in the same period. The odds clearly favor Duisburg (1.5 vs 4.6).

1.64

Confidence

High

Market signals on Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Erzgebirge Aue	MSV Duisburg
Win	1 3 6	6 1 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	100%
Win by being a favorite	0%	100%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	44%	57%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	11%	43%
Win by being an outsider	11%	43%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	100%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	90% 10%	70% 90%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	30%
2nd half	10%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Marcel Baer	40% (4/10)	33% (3/9)	Thilo Toepken
Erik Weinhauer	30% (3/10)	22% (2/9)	Lex-Tyger Lobinger
Jannic Ehlers	29% (2/7)	20% (2/10)	Joshua Bitter
Julian Guttau	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Dominik Kother
Marvin Stefaniak	25% (1/4)	10% (1/10)	Steffen Meuer
Moritz Seiffert	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Florian Krueger
Ryan Malone	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Conor Noss
Ricky Bornschein	10% (1/10)
Tristan Zobel	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Marcel Baer	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽3	Lex-Tyger Lobinger
Julian Guttau	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Dominik Kother
Erik Weinhauer	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Thilo Toepken
Jannic Ehlers	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Joshua Bitter
Moritz Seiffert	⚽1	⚽1	Steffen Meuer
Marvin Stefaniak	⚽1	⚽1	Florian Krueger
Tristan Zobel	⚽1	⚽1	Conor Noss
Ricky Bornschein	⚽1
Ryan Malone	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	70%
Over corners 7.5	70%	60%
Over corners 8.5	70%	60%
Over corners 9.5	60%	50%
Over corners 10.5	50%	30%
Over corners 11.5	50%	30%
Over corners 12.5	40%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	70%
Over corners 3.5	50%	60%
Over corners 4.5	50%	40%
Over corners 5.5	40%	30%
Over corners 6.5	20%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	100%
1.5	70%	70%
2.5	20%	20%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	10%

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