Erzgebirge Aue - MSV Duisburg: our prediction
08/05/2026•19:00
Erzgebirge Aue
0:0
(0:0)
Finished
MSV Duisburg
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1
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X
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2
Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg Preview — 3. Liga
3. Liga match between Erzgebirge Aue and MSV Duisburg. MSV Duisburg is the favorite with odds of 1.5 and has won 6 of their last 10 matches. Erzgebirge Aue is struggling at home with only 1 win in their last 10 home games.
Our Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg predictions
Both teams score
Both teams have scored in 90% of Erzgebirge Aue's matches and 70% of MSV Duisburg's. Statistics show a high probability that both teams will find the net.
1.55
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Erzgebirge Aue's matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases, and MSV Duisburg's in 70%. Combined with the high probability that both teams score, this bet is very consistent.
1.51
Confidence
High
MSV Duisburg win
MSV Duisburg is in great form with 60% wins in their last 10 matches, while Erzgebirge Aue has only won once at home in the same period. The odds clearly favor Duisburg (1.5 vs 4.6).
1.64
Confidence
High
Market signals on Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 3 6 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 44% | 57% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 11% | 43% |
Win by being an outsider | 11% | 43% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 90% 10% | 70% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 10% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel Baer | 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) | Thilo Toepken |
| Erik Weinhauer | 30% (3/10) | 22% (2/9) | Lex-Tyger Lobinger |
| Jannic Ehlers | 29% (2/7) | 20% (2/10) | Joshua Bitter |
| Julian Guttau | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Dominik Kother |
| Marvin Stefaniak | 25% (1/4) | 10% (1/10) | Steffen Meuer |
| Moritz Seiffert | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Florian Krueger |
| Ryan Malone | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Conor Noss |
| Ricky Bornschein | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Tristan Zobel | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel Baer | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Lex-Tyger Lobinger |
| Julian Guttau | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Dominik Kother |
| Erik Weinhauer | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Thilo Toepken |
| Jannic Ehlers | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Joshua Bitter |
| Moritz Seiffert | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Steffen Meuer |
| Marvin Stefaniak | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Florian Krueger |
| Tristan Zobel | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Conor Noss |
| Ricky Bornschein | ⚽1 | ||
| Ryan Malone | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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