Alfreton Town vs Chorley — Prediction
Match Preview
Alfreton Town host Chorley in the National League North. Both teams have unreliable defenses and tend to be involved in high-scoring games. Recent statistics show a high percentage of matches where both teams score and the total goals exceed 2.5.
Our predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, both teams scored in 80% of Alfreton Town's games and 70% of Chorley's. Both teams' defenses are shaky, with only 1 clean sheet for Alfreton and 2 for Chorley in this period. No information on major absences was found, increasing the likelihood that both attacks will find the net.
1.62
Confidence
High
Under 3.5 goals
Alfreton Town stayed under 3.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches, Chorley in 60%. Although both teams often score, matches generally remain below 4 goals. Statistics show a low frequency of very high-scoring games. No information on major offensive injuries was found, but historical data supports this bet.
1.35
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Alfreton Town exceeded 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches, Chorley in 60%. Both teams have defensive issues and attacks capable of scoring. The recent trend of open matches and offensive exchanges supports this bet. No key absences have been reported.
1.77
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 2 6 | 2 3 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 38% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 13% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider | 13% | 40% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 20% |
2nd half | 60% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Salmon | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jack Sampson |
| Josh Ayres | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Milan Lalkovic |
| George Cantrill | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mark Ellis |
| Kieron Freeman | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sam Bird |
| Jo Cummings | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Taelor O'Kane |
| Kai Lissimore | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mike Calveley |
| Max Hunt | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Harvey Smith |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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