Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels — Prediction
28/03/2026•16:00
Chesham United
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Tonbridge Angels
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Chesham United hosts Tonbridge Angels in the National League South. Chesham is a slight favourite with the bookmakers (odds 1.98) despite recent inconsistent form (4W, 1D, 5L in last 10). Tonbridge Angels, away from home, shows more solid form (6W, 4L in last 10) and a more disciplined defence. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a moderate goal-scoring tendency.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows a strong trend towards low scores. Chesham United had under 2.5 goals in 40% of its matches, while Tonbridge Angels did so in 70% of its matches. The Angels' defence is solid (4 clean sheets in 10). Chesham, at home, scores regularly (Over 0.5 goals in 80% of cases) but struggles to score heavily (Over 1.5 goals only 30%). The combination of a moderate home attack and an organised away defence favours a low-scoring match.
1.82
Confidence
High
Chesham United scores at least 1 goal
Chesham United, at home, shows great offensive regularity in its last 10 matches, scoring at least one goal in 80% of cases (8/10). The team has several scorers (Yearn 5 goals, Bennetts 4). Facing a Tonbridge defence that, although solid, has conceded at least one goal in 60% of its recent matches (6/10), the probability of Chesham finding the back of the net is high. Home advantage and the need for points to improve their form support this outlook.
1.25
Confidence
High
Tonbridge Angels scores under 1.5 goals
Tonbridge Angels, away from home, has an unprolific attack. In its last 10 matches, it scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of cases (6/10). Its goal distribution is wide (top scorer Sutcliffe with 3 goals) but lacks a dominant striker. Chesham United, at home, kept a clean sheet in 20% of its recent matches (2/10) and generally limited opponents to one goal or less. The defensive tendency of the Angels (preferring solidity) and Chesham's desire to redeem themselves after recent defeats suggest a limited offensive performance from the visitors.
1.3
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | 4 1 5 | 6 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 40% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 43% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 43% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 43% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 30% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 70% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Yearn | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Ethan Sutcliffe |
| Jayden Bennetts | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Tom Leahy |
| Karl Oliyide | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Ricky Korboa |
| Mitchell Weiss | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Bailey Akehurst |
| Giorgio Rasulo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jordon Thompson |
| Alfie Williams | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Frankie Baker |
| Alexander Lafleur | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alfie Pavey |
⚽1 | Oluwabunmi Babajide | ||
⚽1 | Noah McCann |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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