Merida - Lugo: our prediction
03/05/2026•16:00
Merida
0:2
(0:2)
Finished
Lugo
-
1
-
X
-
2
Merida vs Lugo Preview — Primera Federacion - Group 1
Merida, favorite at home, faces Lugo in a Primera Federacion match. Merida has a 30% win rate in their last 10 games, while Lugo has a low away win rate (10%). Both teams tend to score (60% for Merida, 50% for Lugo), but matches often remain under 2.5 goals.
Our Merida vs Lugo predictions
Under 1.5 goals for Lugo
The 'underparou15' indicator for Lugo is at 80% over their last 10 matches, meaning Lugo rarely scores more than one goal per game. Their poor offensive performance away from home (1 win in 10 matches) reinforces this trend. Merida, although favorite, is not a defensive fortress, but Lugo seems unable to exceed this goal threshold.
1.4
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Statistics show that Merida has seen over 1.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches, and Lugo in 70%. The offensive trend of both teams and Lugo's defensive weakness away from home make this bet very likely. Furthermore, the 'over15' indicator for Merida is at 80%.
1.33
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both teams to score
The 'bts' indicator for Merida is at 60% and for Lugo at 50% over their last 10 matches. Merida has shown some defensive vulnerability (70% of their matches without a clean sheet), while Lugo, although offensively weak away, has scored in 50% of their matches. The scenario of a goal on each side is plausible.
1.84
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Merida vs Lugo
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Merida vs Lugo Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 20% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 80% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sigurdur Bjartur Hallsson | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Nicolas Reniero |
| Luis Pareja | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Iker Unzueta |
| Victor Corral | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alex Gallar |
| Benjamin Dibrani | ⚽1 | ||
| Carlos Doncel | ⚽1 | ||
| Javi Lancho | ⚽1 | ||
| Sofiane El Ftouhi | ⚽1 | ||
| Miguel Capitas | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Tenerife | 58%(22/38) |
| 2 |  | Eldense | 50%(19/38) |
| 3 |  | Atletico Madrileno | 49%(19/39) |
| 4 |  | Sabadell | 46%(18/39) |
| 5 |  | Celta Fortuna | 46%(18/39) |
| 6 |  | Zamora | 44%(17/39) |
| 7 |  | Real Madrid Castilla | 44%(17/39) |
| 8 |  | Ponferradina | 44%(17/39) |
| 9 |  | Villarreal B | 44%(17/39) |
| 10 |  | Antequera | 42%(16/38) |
| 11 |  | CE Europa | 41%(16/39) |
| 12 |  | Unionistas de Salamanca | 39%(15/38) |
| 13 |  | Arenas Getxo | 39%(15/38) |
| 14 |  | Algeciras | 39%(15/38) |
| 15 |  | Cartagena | 39%(15/38) |
| 16 |  | Barakaldo | 39%(15/38) |
| 17 |  | Real Murcia | 37%(14/38) |
| 18 |  | Hercules | 37%(14/38) |
| 19 |  | Pontevedra | 37%(14/38) |
| 20 |  | Merida | 37%(14/38) |
| 21 |  | UD Ibiza | 34%(13/38) |
| 22 | | Lugo | 34%(13/38) |
| 23 |  | Racing de Ferrol | 34%(13/38) |
| 24 |  | Gimnastic | 34%(13/38) |
| 25 |  | Athletic Bilbao B | 34%(13/38) |
| 26 |  | Betis Deportivo Balompie | 32%(12/38) |
| 27 |  | Alcorcon | 32%(12/38) |
| 28 |  | CD Teruel | 32%(12/38) |
| 29 |  | Real Aviles CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 30 |  | CF Talavera de la Reina | 29%(11/38) |
| 31 |  | SD Tarazona | 29%(11/38) |
| 32 |  | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 33 |  | Osasuna B | 26%(10/38) |
| 34 |  | Cacereno | 26%(10/38) |
| 35 |  | Ourense | 26%(10/38) |
| 36 |  | Guadalajara | 26%(10/38) |
| 37 |  | Marbella FC | 24%(9/38) |
| 38 |  | Atletico Sanluqueno CF | 18%(7/38) |
| 39 | | CD Arenteiro | 16%(6/38) |
| 40 |  | Sevilla Atletico | 13%(5/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Primera Federacion - Group 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Primera Federacion - Group 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Primera Federacion - Group 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de Spain. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Primera Federacion - Group 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
Betting actions
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