Ourense - Lugo: our prediction
11/04/2026•16:15
Ourense
4:2
(3:0)
Finished
Lugo
-
1
-
X
-
2
Ourense vs Lugo Preview — Primera Federacion - Group 1
Ourense hosts Lugo in the Primera Federación. Bookmakers have Ourense as slight favorites (odds 2.15) despite mixed form (2 wins in last 10 matches). Lugo, away from home, has a slightly better record (3 wins in 10). Recent statistics suggest a tight and potentially low-scoring match.
Our Ourense vs Lugo predictions
Ourense scores under 1.5 goals
This indicator is extremely solid. In the last 10 matches, Ourense scored under 1.5 goals in 8 instances (80%). Their attack is clearly struggling (only 2 matches with +1.5 goals). Against Lugo's defense (which conceded under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches as well), it is very unlikely that Ourense scores twice. This is the safest bet based on the data.
1.2
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics from the last 10 matches are very clear: Ourense had under 2.5 goals in 7/10 matches (70%), Lugo in 8/10 (80%). Both teams have unprolific attacks (Ourense: 5 times +0.5 goals/team; Lugo: 7 times). Defenses are relatively solid (Ourense: 3 clean sheets; Lugo: 2). The most likely scenario is a tight match with few goals.
1.5
Confidence
High
Draw
Ourense has drawn 3 of its last 10 matches (30%), Lugo 4 (40%). Both teams struggle to win regularly (Ourense: 2W, Lugo: 3W). Ourense's recent home form is not convincing. With ineffective attacks and a potentially high stake, a draw is a plausible scenario. The odds of 3.1 offer good value.
2.94
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Ourense vs Lugo
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Ourense vs Lugo Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 3 5 | 3 4 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 17% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Ochoa | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Nicolas Reniero |
| Sergio Benito | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Iker Unzueta |
| Nacho Castillo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alex Gallar |
| Cesar Moreno | ⚽1 | ||
| Adrian Guerrero | ⚽1 | ||
| Amin Bouzaig | ⚽1 | ||
| Raul Hernandez | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Tenerife | 58%(22/38) |
| 2 |  | Eldense | 50%(19/38) |
| 3 |  | Atletico Madrileno | 49%(19/39) |
| 4 |  | Sabadell | 46%(18/39) |
| 5 |  | Celta Fortuna | 46%(18/39) |
| 6 |  | Zamora | 44%(17/39) |
| 7 |  | Real Madrid Castilla | 44%(17/39) |
| 8 |  | Ponferradina | 44%(17/39) |
| 9 |  | Villarreal B | 44%(17/39) |
| 10 |  | Antequera | 42%(16/38) |
| 11 |  | CE Europa | 41%(16/39) |
| 12 |  | Unionistas de Salamanca | 39%(15/38) |
| 13 |  | Arenas Getxo | 39%(15/38) |
| 14 |  | Algeciras | 39%(15/38) |
| 15 |  | Barakaldo | 39%(15/38) |
| 16 |  | Cartagena | 39%(15/38) |
| 17 |  | Real Murcia | 37%(14/38) |
| 18 |  | Hercules | 37%(14/38) |
| 19 |  | Pontevedra | 37%(14/38) |
| 20 |  | Merida | 37%(14/38) |
| 21 |  | UD Ibiza | 34%(13/38) |
| 22 | | Lugo | 34%(13/38) |
| 23 |  | Racing de Ferrol | 34%(13/38) |
| 24 |  | Gimnastic | 34%(13/38) |
| 25 |  | Athletic Bilbao B | 34%(13/38) |
| 26 |  | Betis Deportivo Balompie | 32%(12/38) |
| 27 |  | Alcorcon | 32%(12/38) |
| 28 |  | CD Teruel | 32%(12/38) |
| 29 |  | Real Aviles CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 30 |  | SD Tarazona | 29%(11/38) |
| 31 |  | CF Talavera de la Reina | 29%(11/38) |
| 32 |  | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 33 |  | Osasuna B | 26%(10/38) |
| 34 |  | Cacereno | 26%(10/38) |
| 35 | | Ourense | 26%(10/38) |
| 36 |  | Guadalajara | 26%(10/38) |
| 37 |  | Marbella FC | 24%(9/38) |
| 38 |  | Atletico Sanluqueno CF | 18%(7/38) |
| 39 | | CD Arenteiro | 16%(6/38) |
| 40 |  | Sevilla Atletico | 13%(5/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Primera Federacion - Group 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Primera Federacion - Group 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Primera Federacion - Group 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de Spain. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Primera Federacion - Group 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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