Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense: our prediction
14/04/2026•17:00
Real Madrid Castilla
1:1
(0:1)
Finished
Ourense
-
1
-
X
-
2
Real Madrid Castilla vs Ourense Preview — Primera Federacion - Group 1
Real Madrid Castilla hosts Ourense in Primera Federacion. Castilla are favorites with odds of 1.73, but their recent form is mixed (3W, 4D, 3L). Ourense, struggling away, aims to cause an upset. Statistics suggest a tight match with goals likely.
Our Real Madrid Castilla vs Ourense predictions
Real Madrid Castilla scores at least 1 goal
Real Madrid Castilla has scored in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10). At home, their attack is generally effective. Against Ourense, who has kept only 3 clean sheets in 10 and is weak away, Castilla have a high probability of scoring at least once.
1.22
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show a trend towards low scores. Real Madrid Castilla has seen under 2.5 goals in 30% of its matches, but Ourense has a very high rate of 70% for this market. Ourense scores little away (only 3 goals in 10 matches for Over 2.5). Castilla's home defense and Ourense's limited attack suggest a low-scoring match.
1.61
Confidence
High
Real Madrid Castilla Win
Real Madrid Castilla plays at home and is the designated favorite (odds 1.73). Although their form is mixed (3W in 10 matches), they have a 50% success rate as favorites (2W/4). Ourense is very weak away (0W in last 10 away matches) and has a low overall win rate (30%). The home advantage and opponent's weakness support this bet.
1.83
Confidence
High
Market signals on Real Madrid Castilla vs Ourense
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Real Madrid Castilla vs Ourense Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 80% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pol Fortuny | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Martin Ochoa |
| Jacobo Ortega | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Sergio Benito |
| Cesar Palacios | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽1 | Adrian Guerrero |
| Liberto Navascues | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Amin Bouzaig |
| Joan Martinez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Raul Hernandez |
| Rachad Fettal | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Nacho Castillo |
| Victor Valdepenas | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cesar Moreno |
| Alexis Ciria | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Tenerife | 58%(22/38) |
| 2 |  | Eldense | 50%(19/38) |
| 3 |  | Atletico Madrileno | 49%(19/39) |
| 4 |  | Sabadell | 46%(18/39) |
| 5 |  | Celta Fortuna | 46%(18/39) |
| 6 |  | Zamora | 44%(17/39) |
| 7 | | Real Madrid Castilla | 44%(17/39) |
| 8 |  | Ponferradina | 44%(17/39) |
| 9 |  | Villarreal B | 44%(17/39) |
| 10 |  | Antequera | 42%(16/38) |
| 11 |  | CE Europa | 41%(16/39) |
| 12 |  | Unionistas de Salamanca | 39%(15/38) |
| 13 |  | Arenas Getxo | 39%(15/38) |
| 14 |  | Algeciras | 39%(15/38) |
| 15 |  | Cartagena | 39%(15/38) |
| 16 |  | Barakaldo | 39%(15/38) |
| 17 |  | Real Murcia | 37%(14/38) |
| 18 |  | Hercules | 37%(14/38) |
| 19 |  | Pontevedra | 37%(14/38) |
| 20 |  | Merida | 37%(14/38) |
| 21 |  | UD Ibiza | 34%(13/38) |
| 22 |  | Lugo | 34%(13/38) |
| 23 |  | Racing de Ferrol | 34%(13/38) |
| 24 |  | Gimnastic | 34%(13/38) |
| 25 |  | Athletic Bilbao B | 34%(13/38) |
| 26 |  | Betis Deportivo Balompie | 32%(12/38) |
| 27 |  | Alcorcon | 32%(12/38) |
| 28 |  | CD Teruel | 32%(12/38) |
| 29 |  | Real Aviles CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 30 |  | CF Talavera de la Reina | 29%(11/38) |
| 31 |  | SD Tarazona | 29%(11/38) |
| 32 |  | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 33 |  | Osasuna B | 26%(10/38) |
| 34 |  | Cacereno | 26%(10/38) |
| 35 | | Ourense | 26%(10/38) |
| 36 |  | Guadalajara | 26%(10/38) |
| 37 |  | Marbella FC | 24%(9/38) |
| 38 |  | Atletico Sanluqueno CF | 18%(7/38) |
| 39 | | CD Arenteiro | 16%(6/38) |
| 40 |  | Sevilla Atletico | 13%(5/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Primera Federacion - Group 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Primera Federacion - Group 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Primera Federacion - Group 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de Spain. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Primera Federacion - Group 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
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- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
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- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
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