Real Madrid Castilla - Celta Fortuna: our prediction
03/04/2026•21:15
Real Madrid Castilla
5:1
(2:1)
Finished
Celta Fortuna
-
1
-
X
-
2
Real Madrid Castilla vs Celta Fortuna Preview — Primera Federacion - Group 1
Real Madrid Castilla hosts Celta Fortuna in a Primera Federación match. Recent statistics show two teams struggling to win, with a strong tendency for draws and goals scored by both sides. Castilla, the bookmakers' favorite, struggles to confirm this status.
Our Real Madrid Castilla vs Celta Fortuna predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Real Madrid Castilla has seen both teams score in 70% of cases (7/10). Celta Fortuna presents exactly the same statistic (7/10). The defenses of both teams are unreliable (only 2 clean sheets each in 10 matches). Castilla's attack scores regularly (Over 0.5 goals/team in 80% of cases), as does Celta's (80%). The historical trend and defensive weaknesses strongly support this scenario.
1.75
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals (per match)
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows a moderate trend towards matches with fewer than 3 goals. For Real Madrid Castilla, 'Under 2.5' occurs in 40% of cases (4/10). For Celta Fortuna, this statistic is 50% (5/10). The attacks are not ultra-prolific: Castilla scores over 1.5 goals per team in only 50% of cases, Celta also in 50% of cases. Furthermore, 'Under 3.5' is very frequent (60% for Castilla, 80% for Celta). A scenario of a tight match, possibly a 1-1 or 0-0 draw, is in line with this data.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Both teams show a draw rate of 50% in their last 10 matches (5/10 each). Real Madrid Castilla, although favored at home (odds 1.88), wins only 20% of its recent matches (2/10) and struggles to impose itself as the favorite (only 1 win in 4 matches where it was favored). Celta Fortuna, on the other hand, rarely loses (only 1 defeat in 10). The combination of the favorite's poor winning performance and the outsider's great solidity makes the draw a very plausible scenario.
3.28
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Real Madrid Castilla vs Celta Fortuna
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Real Madrid Castilla vs Celta Fortuna Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 5 3 | 4 5 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 25% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 80% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 10% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pol Fortuny | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Hugo Gonzalez |
| Jacobo Ortega | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Bernard Somuah |
| Cesar Palacios | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alvaro Marin |
| Rachad Fettal | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | David de la Iglesia |
| Liberto Navascues | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Oscar Marcos |
| Joan Martinez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jan Oliveras |
| Victor Valdepenas | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Andres Antanon |
| Alexis Ciria | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Tenerife | 58%(22/38) |
| 2 |  | Eldense | 50%(19/38) |
| 3 |  | Atletico Madrileno | 49%(19/39) |
| 4 |  | Sabadell | 46%(18/39) |
| 5 | | Celta Fortuna | 46%(18/39) |
| 6 |  | Zamora | 44%(17/39) |
| 7 | | Real Madrid Castilla | 44%(17/39) |
| 8 |  | Ponferradina | 44%(17/39) |
| 9 |  | Villarreal B | 44%(17/39) |
| 10 |  | Antequera | 42%(16/38) |
| 11 |  | CE Europa | 41%(16/39) |
| 12 |  | Unionistas de Salamanca | 39%(15/38) |
| 13 |  | Arenas Getxo | 39%(15/38) |
| 14 |  | Algeciras | 39%(15/38) |
| 15 |  | Cartagena | 39%(15/38) |
| 16 |  | Barakaldo | 39%(15/38) |
| 17 |  | Real Murcia | 37%(14/38) |
| 18 |  | Hercules | 37%(14/38) |
| 19 |  | Pontevedra | 37%(14/38) |
| 20 |  | Merida | 37%(14/38) |
| 21 |  | UD Ibiza | 34%(13/38) |
| 22 |  | Lugo | 34%(13/38) |
| 23 |  | Racing de Ferrol | 34%(13/38) |
| 24 |  | Gimnastic | 34%(13/38) |
| 25 |  | Athletic Bilbao B | 34%(13/38) |
| 26 |  | Betis Deportivo Balompie | 32%(12/38) |
| 27 |  | Alcorcon | 32%(12/38) |
| 28 |  | CD Teruel | 32%(12/38) |
| 29 |  | Real Aviles CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 30 |  | CF Talavera de la Reina | 29%(11/38) |
| 31 |  | SD Tarazona | 29%(11/38) |
| 32 |  | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 33 |  | Osasuna B | 26%(10/38) |
| 34 |  | Cacereno | 26%(10/38) |
| 35 |  | Ourense | 26%(10/38) |
| 36 |  | Guadalajara | 26%(10/38) |
| 37 |  | Marbella FC | 24%(9/38) |
| 38 |  | Atletico Sanluqueno CF | 18%(7/38) |
| 39 | | CD Arenteiro | 16%(6/38) |
| 40 |  | Sevilla Atletico | 13%(5/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Primera Federacion - Group 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Primera Federacion - Group 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Primera Federacion - Group 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de Spain. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Primera Federacion - Group 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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