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Barakaldo - Celta Fortuna: our prediction

23/05/2026•18:30

Barakaldo

1:1

(0:0)

Finished

Celta Fortuna

Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna Preview — Primera Federacion - Group 1

Barakaldo, favorite at home, faces Celta Fortuna. Barakaldo has a 50% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Celta Fortuna has a 40% win rate. Both teams score in 30% of Barakaldo's matches and 60% of Celta Fortuna's. Barakaldo has a stronger defense (4 clean sheets) than Celta Fortuna (2 clean sheets).

Our Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

This bet is consistent with the previous two. Barakaldo has seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches (60%), and Celta Fortuna in 5 (50%). Barakaldo's defense is solid at home and Celta Fortuna struggles to score. A low-scoring match, with a Barakaldo win and under 2.5 total goals, is a very plausible scenario.

1.81

Confidence

High (65 %)

Celta Fortuna under 1.5 goals

Celta Fortuna has scored less than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches (60%). Barakaldo, at home, has a solid defense with 4 clean sheets in 10 and has conceded only one goal in their last 5 home matches. Celta Fortuna's tendency to be limited offensively, combined with Barakaldo's defensive solidity, makes this bet very likely.

1.5

Confidence

High (65 %)

Barakaldo to win

Barakaldo is the favorite (odds at 1.64) and plays at home. In their last 10 matches, they have won 5 (50%) and rarely lose when favored (4 wins in 5 matches). Celta Fortuna, despite having 4 wins in 10, shows a weaker defense (only 2 clean sheets) and a tendency to concede goals (8 matches out of 10). Form and home advantage favor Barakaldo.

1.74

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Barakaldo	Celta Fortuna
Win	5 2 3	4 3 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	100%
Win by being a favorite	80%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	40%	83%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	20%	33%
Win by being an outsider	20%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	60% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	10%
2nd half	40%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Markel Arana	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Bernard Somuah
Sabin Merino	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Hugo Gonzalez
Julen Huidobro	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Alvaro Marin
Aitor Galarza	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Oscar Marcos
Ivan Castillo	⚽1	⚽⚽2	David de la Iglesia
Inigo Munoz	⚽1	⚽1	Jan Oliveras
Oier Lopez	⚽1
Eric Perez	⚽1
Saliou Mandiang	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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