Barakaldo - Celta Fortuna: our prediction
23/05/2026•18:30
Barakaldo
1:1
(0:0)
Finished
Celta Fortuna
-
1
-
X
-
2
Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna Preview — Primera Federacion - Group 1
Barakaldo, favorite at home, faces Celta Fortuna. Barakaldo has a 50% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Celta Fortuna has a 40% win rate. Both teams score in 30% of Barakaldo's matches and 60% of Celta Fortuna's. Barakaldo has a stronger defense (4 clean sheets) than Celta Fortuna (2 clean sheets).
Our Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
This bet is consistent with the previous two. Barakaldo has seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches (60%), and Celta Fortuna in 5 (50%). Barakaldo's defense is solid at home and Celta Fortuna struggles to score. A low-scoring match, with a Barakaldo win and under 2.5 total goals, is a very plausible scenario.
1.81
Confidence
High (65 %)
Celta Fortuna under 1.5 goals
Celta Fortuna has scored less than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches (60%). Barakaldo, at home, has a solid defense with 4 clean sheets in 10 and has conceded only one goal in their last 5 home matches. Celta Fortuna's tendency to be limited offensively, combined with Barakaldo's defensive solidity, makes this bet very likely.
1.5
Confidence
High (65 %)
Barakaldo to win
Barakaldo is the favorite (odds at 1.64) and plays at home. In their last 10 matches, they have won 5 (50%) and rarely lose when favored (4 wins in 5 matches). Celta Fortuna, despite having 4 wins in 10, shows a weaker defense (only 2 clean sheets) and a tendency to concede goals (8 matches out of 10). Form and home advantage favor Barakaldo.
1.74
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 80% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 83% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 60% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 10% |
2nd half | 40% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Markel Arana | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Bernard Somuah |
| Sabin Merino | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Hugo Gonzalez |
| Julen Huidobro | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alvaro Marin |
| Aitor Galarza | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Oscar Marcos |
| Ivan Castillo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | David de la Iglesia |
| Inigo Munoz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jan Oliveras |
| Oier Lopez | ⚽1 | ||
| Eric Perez | ⚽1 | ||
| Saliou Mandiang | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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