Guadalajara - Real Madrid Castilla: our prediction
23/05/2026•18:30
Guadalajara
2:2
(2:1)
Finished
Real Madrid Castilla
-
1
-
X
-
2
Guadalajara vs Real Madrid Castilla Preview — Primera Federacion - Group 1
Real Madrid Castilla, the favorite, travels to Guadalajara. Statistics show that both teams often score (70% for both). Real Madrid Castilla has a good win rate (50%) and a tendency to score more than 2.5 goals (80%). Guadalajara is less performing at home.
Our Guadalajara vs Real Madrid Castilla predictions
Over 2.5 Goals
Real Madrid Castilla has an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches. Combined with the fact that both teams often score, and Guadalajara regularly concedes, the total goals should exceed 2.5. Castilla's statistics are very solid for this market.
1.75
Confidence
Very high
Both Teams to Score
Both teams have a 70% rate of 'Both Teams to Score' in their last 10 matches. Guadalajara has conceded goals in 80% of their home matches, while Real Madrid Castilla has scored in 100% of their away matches. The probability that both will score is very high.
1.67
Confidence
High
Real Madrid Castilla Win
Real Madrid Castilla is the favorite (odds at 1.7) and has a 50% win rate in their last 10 matches, compared to only 30% for Guadalajara. Furthermore, as a favorite, Castilla wins in 50% of cases (3 wins in 6 matches). Guadalajara, at home, has won only 2 of their last 10 matches. The trend is clearly in favor of the away team.
1.86
Confidence
High
Market signals on Guadalajara vs Real Madrid Castilla
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Guadalajara vs Real Madrid Castilla Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Unax Alvarez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Pol Fortuny |
| David Amigo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Jacobo Ortega |
| Salifo Caropitche | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Cesar Palacios |
| Kike Cadete | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Rachad Fettal |
| Neskes | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Liberto Navascues |
| Pablo Munoz | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Joan Martinez |
⚽1 | Victor Valdepenas | ||
⚽1 | Alexis Ciria |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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