Semen Padang - Persebaya Surabaya: our prediction

Semen Padang has a very weak attack. In their last 10 matches, they have only scored more than 0.5 goals twice (parou05 = 2/10) and only once more than 1.5 goals (parou15 = 1/10). Furthermore, they have conceded goals in 80% of their matches (cleansheetno = 8/10). Persebaya Surabaya has a good defense, with 6 clean sheets in 10. It is therefore very likely that Semen Padang will score under 1.5 goals.

This bet is consistent with the previous two. Semen Padang has a very weak attack (parou15 = 1/10) and a defense that often concedes (cleansheetno = 8/10). Persebaya Surabaya, although stronger, also does not have a very high goal average (over35 = 4/10). Combined with the fact that Semen Padang rarely scores, the total goals should stay under the 3.5 mark. Furthermore, 9 of Semen Padang's last 10 matches have had under 3.5 goals (under35 = 9/10).

Persebaya Surabaya is the logical favorite. They have won 5 of their last 10 matches (50% success rate), while Semen Padang has only won once (10%). The odds (1.67) confirm this dominance. Semen Padang has lost 8 of their last 10 matches, showing major defensive and offensive weakness. Persebaya Surabaya also has a good record as a favorite (3 wins out of 4 as a favorite).