Vfb Homberg vs Sw Essen — Prediction
Match Preview
VfB Homberg hosts SW Essen in the Oberliga Niederrhein. Homberg, struggling at home (1 win in 10 matches), faces an Essen side that is more effective away (4 wins in 10). Both teams show fragile defenses and limited attack, suggesting a tight match with few goals.
Our predictions
Under 1.5 goals for VfB Homberg
Homberg scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). The attack is very weak with only 6 goals in 10 matches (0.6 goals/match). At home, the trend is confirmed with an inability to score more than one goal. Against an Essen defense that kept a clean sheet 3 times in 10 matches, it is very likely that Homberg will not score more than one goal.
1.3
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Homberg recorded under 2.5 goals in 6 cases (60%) and Essen in 5 cases (50%). Both teams have unproductive attacks (Homberg: 6 goals in 10 matches, Essen: 8 goals). Defenses are leaky but total goals per match statistics are low. Historical trend and current form support a low-scoring match.
1.65
Confidence
High
Draw
Homberg drew in 40% of its last 10 matches (4/10), while Essen drew in 20% (2/10). Homberg's poor home performance (1 win) and Essen's irregular away form (4 wins but 4 defeats) suggest a balance of power. The statistics of goals scored and conceded are similar, reinforcing the likelihood of a points share.
3.4
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 4 5 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 25% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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