Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao: our prediction
07/01/2026•20:00
Barcelona
5:0
(4:0)
Finished
Athletic Bilbao
-
1
-
X
-
2
Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Preview — Super Cup
Barcelona, heavy favorites, host Athletic Bilbao in the Super Cup. The Blaugranas are in impressive form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches.
Our Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao predictions
Barcelona to Win
Barcelona has won 9 of its last 10 matches and boasts a 90% win rate as the favorite. At home, their attack is prolific (9/10 matches with +1.5 goals). Athletic Bilbao struggles away (1 win in 10 matches). No major absences reported.
1.5
Confidence
Very high
Athletic Bilbao to score under 1.5 goals
Athletic Bilbao scored under 1.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 away matches. Their attack is limited (only 1/10 matches with +1.5 goals). Barcelona kept a clean sheet in 50% of its last 10 matches. Barça's well-organized defense should contain Basque attacks.
1.3
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Barcelona recorded +2.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches. Their attack scores regularly (9/10 matches with +1.5 goals). Athletic Bilbao, although defensive away (70% of matches with -2.5 goals), might yield to Barça's offensive pressure. No information on key defensive injuries for Bilbao.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 9 1 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 17% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 20% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 90% 10% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferran Torres | 44% (4/9) | 40% (4/10) | Gorka Guruzeta |
| Lamine Yamal | 75% (3/4) | 29% (2/7) | Oihan Sancet |
| Marcus Rashford | 30% (3/10) | 11% (1/9) | Urko Izeta |
| Robert Lewandowski | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Aitor Paredes |
| Raphinha | 33% (1/3) | 17% (1/6) | Nico Williams |
| Fermin Lopez | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Inaki Williams |
| Joao Cancelo | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Daniel Vivian |
10% (1/10) | Robert Navarro |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferran Torres | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Gorka Guruzeta |
| Lamine Yamal | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Nico Williams |
| Marcus Rashford | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Oihan Sancet |
| Robert Lewandowski | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Aitor Paredes |
| Raphinha | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Robert Navarro |
| Fermin Lopez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Inaki Williams |
| Joao Cancelo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Daniel Vivian |
⚽1 | Urko Izeta |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 10% |
1.5 | 0% | 10% |
2.5 | 0% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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