Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid: our prediction
08/01/2026•20:00
Atletico Madrid
1:2
(0:1)
Finished
Real Madrid
-
1
-
X
-
2
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Preview — Super Cup
Super Cup match between Atletico Madrid (home) and Real Madrid (away). Real Madrid is favorite (odds 2.32). No information found on injuries to key players. Key indicator: 'over15' for Real away: 100% success (10/10). Both teams have performing attacks.
Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid predictions
Over 2.5 Goals
Both teams have a strong tendency for matches over 2.5 goals: 60% for Atletico (6/10) and 70% for Real (7/10) in their last 10 matches. With in-form attackers (Mbappé 11 goals, Griezmann 4 goals) and conceding defenses, an open match is likely.
1.57
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both Teams to Score
In the last 10 matches, Atletico Madrid has seen both teams score in 60% of cases, and Real Madrid in 70% of cases. The defenses (30% clean sheet for Atletico, 20% for Real) are sometimes fragile, and the attacks are well set (Griezmann, Mbappé).
1.5
Confidence
High (65 %)
Real Madrid Win
Real Madrid is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.32) with 6 wins in its last 10 matches (60%). Away, its attack is formidable with 100% of matches over 1.5 goals. Atletico, solid at home (7 wins/10), can resist but Real's recent form is convincing.
2.13
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 1 2 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 89% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 78% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 60% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ademola Lookman | 38% (3/8) | 50% (4/8) | Kylian Mbappe |
| Alexander Soerloth | 25% (2/8) | 44% (4/9) | Vinicius Junior |
| Julian Alvarez | 50% (2/4) | 20% (2/10) | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Nico Gonzalez | 50% (2/4) | 20% (2/10) | Jude Bellingham |
| Thiago Almada | 13% (1/8) | 14% (1/7) | Federico Valverde |
| Antoine Griezmann | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Brahim Diaz |
| Marc Pubill | 10% (1/10) | 20% (1/5) | Arda Guler |
| Alejandro Baena | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Iker Luque | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Miguel Llorente | 17% (1/6) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Soerloth | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Vinicius Junior |
| Nico Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Kylian Mbappe |
| Ademola Lookman | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Arda Guler |
| Julian Alvarez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jude Bellingham |
| Thiago Almada | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Miguel Llorente | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Federico Valverde |
| Alejandro Baena | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Brahim Diaz |
| Antoine Griezmann | ⚽1 | ||
| Iker Luque | ⚽1 | ||
| Marc Pubill | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 10% |
1.5 | 10% | 0% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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