Chelsea Fc Women vs Aston Villa Women — Prediction
29/03/2026•13:00
Chelsea FC Women
4:3
(3:3)
Finished
Aston Villa Women
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Chelsea, the home favorite, faces Aston Villa. Statistics show a clear superiority for Chelsea, with a high probability of victory and a low expected number of goals.
Our predictions
Chelsea Win
Chelsea is the clear favorite (odds 1.19). In the last 10 matches, Chelsea has won 5 times, compared to only 3 for Aston Villa. Chelsea is unbeaten as a favorite in its last 8 matches in that role (5W, 2D, 1L). At home, Chelsea has won 50% of its last 10 matches. Aston Villa, on the other hand, has lost 6 of its last 10 matches and has not won any matches as an outsider (0/5). Chelsea's technical superiority and home consistency should translate into a victory.
1.19
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals
Statistics from the last 10 matches strongly favor a match with fewer than 3 goals. For Chelsea, 7 of its last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals (70%). For Aston Villa, it's 8 out of 10 (80%). Chelsea scores regularly (9/10 matches with Over 1.5 total goals) but often keeps a clean sheet (4 clean sheets in 10). Aston Villa struggles to score away (only 1 win in 10 away matches). The probability of a tight, Chelsea-controlled match with few goals is high.
2.69
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 70% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren James | 50% (4/8) | 56% (5/9) | Kirsty Hanson |
| Alyssa Thompson | 38% (3/8) | 14% (1/7) | Oriane Jean-Francois |
| Samantha Kerr | 40% (2/5) | 13% (1/8) | Lucy Parker |
| Sjoeke Nuesken | 25% (2/8) | 11% (1/9) | Miriael Taylor |
| Agnes Beever-Jones | 20% (1/5) | 14% (1/7) | Chasity Grant |
| Johanna Rytting Kaneryd | 17% (1/6) | 11% (1/9) | Ebony Salmon |
| Naomi Girma | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Anna Patten |
| Keira Walsh | 13% (1/8) | 50% (1/2) | Rachel Daly |
| Alexia Potter | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren James | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Kirsty Hanson |
| Alyssa Thompson | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Rachel Daly |
| Sjoeke Nuesken | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Oriane Jean-Francois |
| Samantha Kerr | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Chasity Grant |
| Naomi Girma | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ebony Salmon |
| Alexia Potter | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Anna Patten |
| Keira Walsh | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lucy Parker |
| Agnes Beever-Jones | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Miriael Taylor |
| Johanna Rytting Kaneryd | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 70% |
1.5 | 20% | 30% |
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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