Mamelodi Sundowns FC - Siwelele: our prediction
09/05/2026•17:30
Mamelodi Sundowns FC
7:4
(5:1)
Finished
Siwelele
-
1
-
X
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2
Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Siwelele Preview — Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns FC, heavy favorite (odds at 1.25), hosts Siwelele, the underdog (odds at 11.65). The Sundowns are in great form with 6 wins in their last 10 matches, while Siwelele has a poor record, especially away from home with only one win in 10 games. Statistics show that both teams rarely score, and Siwelele's matches are often under 2.5 goals.
Our Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Siwelele predictions
Under 1.5 goals for Siwelele
Siwelele has a low offensive output, especially away from home. They have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches. Facing a Mamelodi Sundowns defense that kept a clean sheet 6 times in their last 10 matches, it is very likely that Siwelele will not score more than one goal, if any.
1.33
Confidence
Very high (80%)
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics show a strong trend towards low-scoring matches. Siwelele has seen under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, and Mamelodi Sundowns in 7 of their last 10. The combination of a solid Sundowns defense (6 clean sheets) and Siwelele's offensive inefficiency (often under 0.5 goals per game) makes this scenario very likely.
1.85
Confidence
High (65%)
Mamelodi Sundowns FC to win
Mamelodi Sundowns FC is the favorite with odds of 1.25. Their recent form (6 wins in 10) and Siwelele's weakness away from home (1 win in 10) make this bet very likely. The Sundowns also have a good 'clean sheet' record (6 in 10), suggesting they can win without conceding.
1.22
Confidence
Very high (80%)
Market signals on Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Siwelele
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Siwelele Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 3 1 | 3 6 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 67% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 20% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 30% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Leon | 80% (4/5) | 30% (3/10) | Ghampani Lungu |
| Tashreeq Matthews | 29% (2/7) | 43% (3/7) | Siphesihle Jeza |
| Teboho Mokoena | 29% (2/7) | 13% (1/8) | Bohlale Ngwato |
| Nuno Santos | 25% (1/4) | 33% (1/3) | Chibuike Ohizu |
| Aubrey Maphosa Modiba | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Tebogo Potsane |
| Marcelo Allende | 14% (1/7) | 20% (1/5) | Relebogile Mokhuoane |
| Tsiki Ntsabeleng | 14% (1/7) | 25% (1/4) | Maliele Vincent Pule |
| Iqraam Rayners | 14% (1/7) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Leon | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Ghampani Lungu |
| Tashreeq Matthews | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Siphesihle Jeza |
| Teboho Mokoena | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Tebogo Potsane |
| Marcelo Allende | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Chibuike Ohizu |
| Bennet Mokoena | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Bohlale Ngwato |
| Nuno Santos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Maliele Vincent Pule |
| Aubrey Maphosa Modiba | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Relebogile Mokhuoane |
| Tsiki Ntsabeleng | ⚽1 | ||
| Iqraam Rayners | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
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