Al-Ettifaq - Al Ittihad: our prediction
14/05/2026•20:00
Al-Ettifaq
1:3
(1:2)
Finished
Al Ittihad
-
1
-
X
-
2
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad Preview — Saudi Pro League
Al-Ittihad, the favorite, travels to Al-Ettifaq. Statistics show Al-Ittihad has a better win rate as a favorite (33% vs 50% for Al-Ettifaq). Al-Ettifaq struggles at home, with only 1 win in their last 5 home matches. Both teams tend to score (BTS 50% for both). Al-Ittihad seems more solid defensively.
Our Al-Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad predictions
Under 1.5 Goals for Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq struggles to score, especially at home. In their last 10 matches, they have scored more than 1.5 goals only 4 times (40%). At home, the trend is even weaker: only 1 goal in the last 5 matches. Al-Ittihad, on the other hand, has kept a clean sheet 4 times in 10. The probability of Al-Ettifaq scoring 2 or more goals is therefore low.
1.82
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 Goals
Both teams show a tendency to play under 2.5 goals. Al-Ettifaq has 40% of their matches under 2.5 goals, while Al-Ittihad has 60%. Furthermore, Al-Ettifaq has only scored once in their last 5 home matches. Combined with Al-Ittihad's relatively solid defense (4 clean sheets in 10), a low-scoring match is likely.
2.48
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Al-Ittihad Victory
Al-Ittihad is the logical favorite with odds of 1.82. Although both teams have a 30% win rate in their last 10 matches, Al-Ittihad shows better form as a favorite (33% wins) compared to Al-Ettifaq (20% home wins). Al-Ettifaq has lost 50% of their home matches, which reinforces the likelihood of an Al-Ittihad victory.
1.91
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Al-Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Khalid Al Ghannam | 50% (5/10) | 56% (5/9) | Houssem Aouar |
| Georginio Wijnaldum | 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) | Youssef En-Nesyri |
| Moussa Dembele | 33% (3/9) | 11% (1/9) | Danilo Pereira |
| Francisco Calvo | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Moussa Diaby |
| Alvaro Medran | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Abdulaziz Al Bishi |
| Jack Hendry | 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) | Abdulrahman Al-Obood |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Khalid Al Ghannam | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Houssem Aouar |
| Moussa Dembele | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Youssef En-Nesyri |
| Georginio Wijnaldum | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Moussa Diaby |
| Alvaro Medran | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Abdulaziz Al Bishi |
| Francisco Calvo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Abdulrahman Al-Obood |
| Jack Hendry | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Danilo Pereira |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 60% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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