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SSC Napoli - AC Milan: our prediction

18/12/2025•20:00

SSC Napoli

2:0

(1:0)

Finished

AC Milan

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan Preview — Super Cup

SSC Napoli, 8th in Serie A, faces AC Milan, 2nd in the league, in a Super Cup clash. Napoli, in internal crisis, challenges a solid and in-form Milan, designated as the favorite by the bookmakers.

Our SSC Napoli vs AC Milan predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Over the last 10 matches, SSC Napoli has recorded 80% Under 2.5 goals (8/10) and AC Milan 50% (5/10). Napoli's defense, despite its problems, often limits the number of goals. Milan, solid, does not concede much. The pressure of a cup match could lead to a tactical and low-scoring game.

1.57

Confidence

High

SSC Napoli scores under 1.5 goals

SSC Napoli has scored under 1.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). The attack is struggling with only 4 wins during this period. Facing Milan's defense (3 clean sheets in 10), it is unlikely that the Neapolitans will score more than one goal.

1.43

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

AC Milan has seen both teams score in 60% of its last 10 matches (6/10). Its attack is performing (Rafael Leao in form) but its defense can give way. Napoli, at home, is capable of scoring despite its difficulties (30% BTTS in 10 matches). A balanced scenario with goals from both sides is plausible.

1.88

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on SSC Napoli vs AC Milan

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	SSC Napoli	AC Milan
Win	4 3 3	5 4 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	75%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	33%
Win by being a favorite	38%	44%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	100%
Win by being an outsider	50%	100%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	60% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	40%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Scott McTominay	40% (4/10)	22% (2/9)	Adrien Rabiot
Rasmus Hoejlund	33% (3/9)	20% (2/10)	Christopher Nkunku
Alisson Santos	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Strahinja Pavlovic
Matteo Politano	22% (2/9)	11% (1/9)	Alexis Saelemaekers
Amir Rrahmani	17% (1/6)	10% (1/10)	Zachary Athekame
Giovanni Di Lorenzo	25% (1/4)	10% (1/10)	Youssouf Fofana
Kevin De Bruyne	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Scott McTominay	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Strahinja Pavlovic
Rasmus Hoejlund	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Adrien Rabiot
Matteo Politano	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Christopher Nkunku
Alisson Santos	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Alexis Saelemaekers
Giovanni Di Lorenzo	⚽1	⚽1	Youssouf Fofana
Kevin De Bruyne	⚽1	⚽1	Zachary Athekame
Amir Rrahmani	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	70%
Over corners 7.5	70%	60%
Over corners 8.5	40%	40%
Over corners 9.5	10%	40%
Over corners 10.5	0%	20%
Over corners 11.5	0%	20%
Over corners 12.5	0%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	60%
Over corners 3.5	80%	50%
Over corners 4.5	60%	30%
Over corners 5.5	40%	30%
Over corners 6.5	10%	20%

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