SSC Napoli - AC Milan: our prediction
18/12/2025•20:00
SSC Napoli
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
AC Milan
-
1
-
X
-
2
SSC Napoli vs AC Milan Preview — Super Cup
SSC Napoli, 8th in Serie A, faces AC Milan, 2nd in the league, in a Super Cup clash. Napoli, in internal crisis, challenges a solid and in-form Milan, designated as the favorite by the bookmakers.
Our SSC Napoli vs AC Milan predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Over the last 10 matches, SSC Napoli has recorded 80% Under 2.5 goals (8/10) and AC Milan 50% (5/10). Napoli's defense, despite its problems, often limits the number of goals. Milan, solid, does not concede much. The pressure of a cup match could lead to a tactical and low-scoring game.
1.57
Confidence
High
SSC Napoli scores under 1.5 goals
SSC Napoli has scored under 1.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). The attack is struggling with only 4 wins during this period. Facing Milan's defense (3 clean sheets in 10), it is unlikely that the Neapolitans will score more than one goal.
1.43
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
AC Milan has seen both teams score in 60% of its last 10 matches (6/10). Its attack is performing (Rafael Leao in form) but its defense can give way. Napoli, at home, is capable of scoring despite its difficulties (30% BTTS in 10 matches). A balanced scenario with goals from both sides is plausible.
1.88
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on SSC Napoli vs AC Milan
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
SSC Napoli vs AC Milan Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 5 4 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 38% | 44% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 60% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McTominay | 40% (4/10) | 22% (2/9) | Adrien Rabiot |
| Rasmus Hoejlund | 33% (3/9) | 20% (2/10) | Christopher Nkunku |
| Alisson Santos | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Strahinja Pavlovic |
| Matteo Politano | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Alexis Saelemaekers |
| Amir Rrahmani | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Zachary Athekame |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 25% (1/4) | 10% (1/10) | Youssouf Fofana |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McTominay | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Strahinja Pavlovic |
| Rasmus Hoejlund | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Adrien Rabiot |
| Matteo Politano | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Christopher Nkunku |
| Alisson Santos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Alexis Saelemaekers |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Youssouf Fofana |
| Kevin De Bruyne | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Zachary Athekame |
| Amir Rrahmani | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
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