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SSC Napoli - Cagliari: our prediction

03/12/2025•18:00

SSC Napoli

1:1

(1:0)

Finished AP

9 tab 8

Cagliari

SSC Napoli vs Cagliari Preview — Coppa Italia

SSC Napoli, the clear favourite playing at home, faces Cagliari in the Coppa Italia. Napoli shows average form (5 wins in 10 matches) but a clear statistical advantage against a Cagliari side that is very weak away from home and struggling offensively.

Our SSC Napoli vs Cagliari predictions

SSC Napoli to Win

SSC Napoli plays at home and is the bookmakers' favourite (odds 1.39). In the last 10 matches, Napoli won 50% of their games, compared to only 10% for Cagliari away from home. Cagliari is particularly weak away and lost 50% of their recent matches. The 'Does not lose as favourite' statistic is 62.5% for Napoli (5/8). The home advantage and Cagliari's offensive deficit favour a win for the home team.

1.4

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals in the match

The 'Under 2.5 goals' statistic is validated in 70% of Napoli's recent matches (7/10) and 50% of Cagliari's (5/10). Napoli has a solid defence at home (clean sheet in 50% of recent home matches according to global stats). Cagliari scores little away (0 wins in last 10 away matches). The probability of a tight or one-sided match with few goals is high. The 'Both teams to score' bet succeeds only 30% of the time for Napoli and 60% for Cagliari, reinforcing the idea of a match under 2.5 goals.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on SSC Napoli vs Cagliari

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

SSC Napoli vs Cagliari Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	SSC Napoli	Cagliari
Win	5 2 3	1 4 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	71%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	0%
Win by being a favorite	43%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	67%	0%
Win by being an outsider	67%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	60% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	50%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Scott McTominay	40% (4/10)	33% (3/9)	Sebastiano Esposito
Rasmus Hoejlund	33% (3/9)	33% (2/6)	Gennaro Borrelli
Matteo Politano	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Juan Rodriguez
Alisson Santos	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Paul Mendy
Amir Rrahmani	17% (1/6)	10% (1/10)	Yerry Mina
Giovanni Di Lorenzo	25% (1/4)	50% (1/2)	Leonardo Pavoletti
Kevin De Bruyne	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Scott McTominay	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Sebastiano Esposito
Rasmus Hoejlund	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Paul Mendy
Alisson Santos	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Gennaro Borrelli
Matteo Politano	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Leonardo Pavoletti
Kevin De Bruyne	⚽1	⚽1	Juan Rodriguez
Amir Rrahmani	⚽1	⚽1	Yerry Mina
Giovanni Di Lorenzo	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	70%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	60%	40%
Over corners 9.5	30%	30%
Over corners 10.5	10%	20%
Over corners 11.5	10%	20%
Over corners 12.5	0%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	80%
Over corners 3.5	50%	80%
Over corners 4.5	40%	60%
Over corners 5.5	20%	30%
Over corners 6.5	0%	20%

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