SSC Napoli - Cagliari: our prediction
03/12/2025•18:00
SSC Napoli
1:1
(1:0)
Finished AP
9 tab 8
Cagliari
-
1
-
X
-
2
SSC Napoli vs Cagliari Preview — Coppa Italia
SSC Napoli, the clear favourite playing at home, faces Cagliari in the Coppa Italia. Napoli shows average form (5 wins in 10 matches) but a clear statistical advantage against a Cagliari side that is very weak away from home and struggling offensively.
Our SSC Napoli vs Cagliari predictions
SSC Napoli to Win
SSC Napoli plays at home and is the bookmakers' favourite (odds 1.39). In the last 10 matches, Napoli won 50% of their games, compared to only 10% for Cagliari away from home. Cagliari is particularly weak away and lost 50% of their recent matches. The 'Does not lose as favourite' statistic is 62.5% for Napoli (5/8). The home advantage and Cagliari's offensive deficit favour a win for the home team.
1.4
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The 'Under 2.5 goals' statistic is validated in 70% of Napoli's recent matches (7/10) and 50% of Cagliari's (5/10). Napoli has a solid defence at home (clean sheet in 50% of recent home matches according to global stats). Cagliari scores little away (0 wins in last 10 away matches). The probability of a tight or one-sided match with few goals is high. The 'Both teams to score' bet succeeds only 30% of the time for Napoli and 60% for Cagliari, reinforcing the idea of a match under 2.5 goals.
-
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on SSC Napoli vs Cagliari
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
SSC Napoli vs Cagliari Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 1 4 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 71% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 43% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 67% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 67% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 60% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McTominay | 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) | Sebastiano Esposito |
| Rasmus Hoejlund | 33% (3/9) | 33% (2/6) | Gennaro Borrelli |
| Matteo Politano | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Juan Rodriguez |
| Alisson Santos | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Paul Mendy |
| Amir Rrahmani | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Yerry Mina |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 25% (1/4) | 50% (1/2) | Leonardo Pavoletti |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McTominay | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Sebastiano Esposito |
| Rasmus Hoejlund | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Paul Mendy |
| Alisson Santos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Gennaro Borrelli |
| Matteo Politano | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Leonardo Pavoletti |
| Kevin De Bruyne | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Juan Rodriguez |
| Amir Rrahmani | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Yerry Mina |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 20% |
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