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Brisbane Roar FC - Melbourne City FC: our prediction

18/04/2026•09:00

Brisbane Roar FC

2:3

(1:0)

Finished

Melbourne City FC

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne City FC Preview — A-League Men

Brisbane Roar FC hosts Melbourne City FC in the A-League Men. Melbourne City is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.05, while Brisbane Roar is at 3.30 and the draw at 3.40. In their last 10 matches, Brisbane has not won any games (0/10) and has conceded at least one goal in 90% of its matches. Melbourne City has won 4 of its last 10 matches and kept a clean sheet in 50% of them. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with goals from both sides.

Our Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne City FC predictions

1.5 (More goals per match)

In the last 10 matches, Brisbane Roar has seen over 1.5 goals in 80% of cases (8/10). Melbourne City has also recorded over 1.5 goals in 70% of its matches (7/10). Brisbane's offensive trend (goals in 90% of matches) and Melbourne's scoring ability (70%) make this bet very likely. Brisbane's weak defense (90% of matches with goals conceded) reinforces this probability.

1.25

Confidence

Very high

1.5 (Fewer goals per team)

Melbourne City has scored fewer than 1.5 goals per team in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Although favored, its attack is not explosive, with only 3 matches out of 10 where it scored more than 1 goal. Facing a Brisbane team that, despite its weak defense, could strengthen at home, it is likely that Melbourne will not score more than one goal. This solid statistic supports this bet.

1.4

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Brisbane Roar has seen both teams score in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10). Its defense is fragile, having kept only one clean sheet. Melbourne City has scored in 70% of its recent matches. Although Melbourne has a better defense, Brisbane's defensive weakness at home and Melbourne's attack should lead to goals from both sides.

1.7

Confidence

High

Market signals on Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne City FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne City FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Brisbane Roar FC	Melbourne City FC
Win	5 5	4 4 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	40%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	0%	43%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	33%
Win by being an outsider	0%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	40% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	10%
2nd half	40%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	50% (2/4)	67% (6/9)	Marcus Younis
Niall Thom	17% (1/6)	22% (2/9)	Andreas Kuen
Jordan Lauton	10% (1/10)	33% (2/6)	Andrew Nabbout
Justin Vidic	13% (1/8)	25% (2/8)	Medin Memeti
Chris Long	33% (1/3)	20% (2/10)	Max Caputo
James McGarry	13% (1/8)	20% (2/10)	Aziz Behich
Youstin Salas	10% (1/10)	33% (1/3)	Benjamin Mazzeo
Georgios Vrakas	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Zane Schreiber
Samuel Klein	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Elbasan Rashani
Dimitri Valkanis	10% (1/10)	25% (1/4)	Matthew Leckie
		14% (1/7)	Daniel Arzani

Total goals per player

	1	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	Marcus Younis
James McGarry	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Medin Memeti
Youstin Salas	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Aziz Behich
Niall Thom	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Andrew Nabbout
Jordan Lauton	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Max Caputo
Justin Vidic	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Andreas Kuen
Georgios Vrakas	⚽1	⚽1	Matthew Leckie
Samuel Klein	⚽1	⚽1	Benjamin Mazzeo
Dimitri Valkanis	⚽1	⚽1	Elbasan Rashani
Chris Long	⚽1	⚽1	Zane Schreiber
		⚽1	Daniel Arzani

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	80%
Over corners 8.5	60%	70%
Over corners 9.5	50%	40%
Over corners 10.5	30%	40%
Over corners 11.5	20%	20%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	70%
Over corners 3.5	60%	60%
Over corners 4.5	50%	50%
Over corners 5.5	40%	30%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	90%
1.5	80%	20%
2.5	50%	20%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	10%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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