Paris Saint-Germain - Marseille: our prediction
08/01/2026•19:00
Paris Saint-Germain
2:2
(1:0)
Finished AP
4 tab 1
Marseille
-
1
-
X
-
2
Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille Preview — Super Cup
PSG faces Marseille in the Super Cup. PSG, favored with odds of 1.63, has won 7 of its last 10 matches. Marseille has won 6 of its last 10 matches. Statistics suggest a match likely rich in goals, with over 2.5 goals scored in 80% of PSG's recent matches.
Our Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
PSG has seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Marseille also has a high rate of matches with over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams have prolific attacks (PSG: multiple scorers, Marseille: Mason Greenwood 5 goals). PSG's defense is not impenetrable (only 6 clean sheets).
1.55
Confidence
Very high
Paris Saint-Germain Win
PSG has won 7 of its last 10 matches (70%) and lost only twice. At home, PSG is solid. Marseille, although performing well (6 wins in 10 matches), is less consistent away. The odds of 1.63 reflect PSG's theoretical superiority.
1.5
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
PSG has conceded at least one goal in 6 of its last 10 matches (40% clean sheets). Marseille has scored in 7 of its last 10 matches. With attackers like Greenwood (5 goals) and Aubameyang (4 goals) for Marseille, and a sometimes vulnerable PSG defense, it is likely that both teams will score.
1.65
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 1 2 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 89% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite | 78% | 63% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 40% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) | Amine Gouiri |
| Ousmane Dembele | 30% (3/10) | 22% (2/9) | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang |
| Desire Doue | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Mason Greenwood |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg |
| Lucas Beraldo | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Ethan Nwaneri |
| Joao Neves | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Igor Paixao |
| Kang-In Lee | 11% (1/9) | 14% (1/7) | Hamed Traore |
| Senny Mayulu | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Warren Zaire-Emery | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Bradley Barcola | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Amine Gouiri |
| Ousmane Dembele | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽2 | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Mason Greenwood |
| Desire Doue | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg |
| Senny Mayulu | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Hamed Traore |
| Warren Zaire-Emery | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Igor Paixao |
| Kang-In Lee | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ethan Nwaneri |
| Lucas Beraldo | ⚽1 | ||
| Joao Neves | ⚽1 | ||
| Bradley Barcola | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 10% |
1.5 | 0% | 0% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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